The Stability of Space-Time Clusters of Burglary

Abstract

This research, inspired by the precepts of optimal foraging theory, suggests that areas where domestic burglaries cluster shift over time, such that the location of clusters is not predictable over periods of three or more months. However, although clusters do not remain in the same location over time (i.e. are not stable over prolonged periods) they do tend to move in a ‘slippery’ manner, moving to nearby areas at successive points in time. The implications of the findings for hot-spotting and crime prevention are discussed.

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