Testing QuickEst: No evidence for the Quick-Estimation heuristic

Daniel Hausmann · Damian Läge · RÜDIGER F. POHL · Arndt Bröder

7 citations0/0 files storedThe European Journal of Cognitive Psychology

No readable copy stored yet — this record is metadata only.

No open-access location is known for this record yet.

Literature note Cite in a project Citation map

Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Memory Processes and Influences Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills

Abstract

The Quick-Estimation heuristic (QuickEst) was introduced by Hertwig, Hoffrage, and Martignon (1999 Hertwig , R. , Hoffrage , U. , & Martignon , L. (1999) . Quick estimation: Letting the environment do the work . In G. Gigerenzer , P. M. Todd , & the ABC Research Group (Eds.) , Simple heuristics that make us smart (pp. 209 – 234) . New York : Oxford University Press . [Google Scholar]) as a fast and frugal method to generate numerical estimates. The heuristic posits that estimate-relevant knowledge is organised and searched according to ordered reference classes that are based on binary cue values. Two experiments tested two main predictions derived from QuickEst with respect to the memory search and estimation behaviour of human participants. The results provided no evidence that QuickEst is used in numerical estimation processes. As alternative explanation of our findings, we discuss a cyclic sampling mechanism that retrieves information from memory according to their associative strength.

Paper brief

Loading…

Cite this work

Citation unavailable for this work.

BibTeX RIS CSL-JSON

No public copy is stored for this record, so only the metadata is cited.

Citations in this library

Citation map →

Stored only when both papers are in the corpus — 7 citations exist upstream.

References

1999Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart 1996Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality.2002Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox 2002PROBabilities from EXemplars (PROBEX): a “lazy” algorithm for probabilistic inference from generic knowledge 2003SARA: A cognitive process model to simulate the anchoring effect and hindsight bias 2002Prominence Theory as a Tool to Model Boundedly Rational Decisions 2001Eingeschränkte und ökologische Rationalität: Ein Forschungsprogramm 2001Die eingeschränkte Fruchtbarkeit eines unvollständigen Forschungsprogramms

Cited by

2016Urteilen und Entscheiden 2024Urteilen und Entscheiden

Explore the map →

Papers that cite the same references — the relational fallback while embeddings are still backfilling.

Imported from OpenAlex (CC0) — nothing here is generated.