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Decomposing Forecasting
16 references·2 citing·46 second hop
Decomposing Forecasting (2014)Decomposing ForecastingThe trouble with overconfidence. (2008)The trouble with overconfiden…How We See Ourselves and How We See Others (2008)How We See Ourselves and How …Risk Perception and Affect (2006)Risk Perception and AffectHeuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Heuristics and Biases: The Ps…If you don't want to be late, enumerate: Unpacking reduces the planning fallacy (2003)If you don't want to be late,…The Future Is Now: Temporal Correction in Affective Forecasting (2002)The Future Is Now: Temporal C…Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment (2002)Representativeness Revisited:…Intensity Bias in Affective Forecasting: The Role of Temporal Focus (2001)Intensity Bias in Affective F…Do Moderators of the Optimistic Bias Affect Personal or Target Risk Estimates? A Review of the Literature (2001)Do Moderators of the Optimist…The Role of Motivated Reasoning in Optimistic Time Predictions (1997)The Role of Motivated Reasoni…Naive realism in everyday life: Implications for social conflict and misunderstanding. (1996)Naive realism in everyday lif…Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times. (1994)Exploring the "planning falla…Effect of temporal perspective on subjective confidence. (1993)Effect of temporal perspectiv…A General Theory of Crime (1990)A General Theory of CrimeDepression and pessimism for the future: Biased use of statistically relevant information in predictions for self versus others. (1987)Depression and pessimism for …Defensive pessimism: Harnessing anxiety as motivation. (1986)Defensive pessimism: Harnessi…Forecasting errors in student media multitasking during homework completion (2015)Forecasting errors in student…Don't Lapse into Temptation: A Behavioral Explanation for Policy Surrender (2015)Don't Lapse into Temptation: …Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)The theory of planned behavior (1991)Self-Efficacy: The Exercise of Control (1999)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics (2003)Cognitive Reflection and Decision Making (2005)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The affect heuristic in judgments of risks and benefits (2000)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Simulating Minds (2006)Society and the Adolescent Self-Image (1965)The illusion of control. 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References

  • 1990A General Theory of Crime10,120 cited
  • 2004Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment3,536 cited
  • 2002Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment3,474 cited
  • 2008The trouble with overconfidence.2,347 cited
  • 2006Risk Perception and Affect1,442 cited
  • 1994Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times.1,107 cited
  • 1986Defensive pessimism: Harnessing anxiety as motivation.725 cited
  • 2001Do Moderators of the Optimistic Bias Affect Personal or Target Risk Estimates? A Review of the Literature544 cited
  • 1996Naive realism in everyday life: Implications for social conflict and misunderstanding.518 cited
  • 2002The Future Is Now: Temporal Correction in Affective Forecasting429 cited
  • 2008How We See Ourselves and How We See Others353 cited
  • 1993Effect of temporal perspective on subjective confidence.319 cited
  • 1987Depression and pessimism for the future: Biased use of statistically relevant information in predictions for self versus others.287 cited
  • 2001Intensity Bias in Affective Forecasting: The Role of Temporal Focus267 cited
  • 1997The Role of Motivated Reasoning in Optimistic Time Predictions

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251 cited
  • 2003If you don't want to be late, enumerate: Unpacking reduces the planning fallacy191 cited
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    • 2015Don't Lapse into Temptation: A Behavioral Explanation for Policy Surrender45 cited
    • 2015Forecasting errors in student media multitasking during homework completion22 cited