Inflation and the Size of Government

Song Han · Casey B. Mulligan

9 citations0/0 files storedFinance and Economics Discussion Series

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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Fiscal Policies and Political Economy Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth

Abstract

It is commonly supposed in public and academic discourse that inflation and big government are related. We show that economic theory delivers such a prediction only in special cases. As an empirical matter, inflation is significantly positively related to the size of government mainly when periods of war and peace are compared. We find a weak positive peacetime time series correlation between inflation and the size of government and a negative cross-country correlation of inflation with non-defense spending.

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References

1983A Theory of Competition Among Pressure Groups for Political Influence 1983Rules, discretion and reputation in a model of monetary policy 1979On the Determination of the Public Debt 1927A Contribution to the Theory of Taxation 1981A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural-Rate Model 1983A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural Rate Model 1983Optimal fiscal and monetary policy in an economy without capital 1993Central Bank Independence and Macroeconomic Performance: Some Comparative Evidence

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2014On the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth

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