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VARMA versus VAR for Macroeconomic Forecasting
15 references·8 citing·40 second hop
VARMA versus VAR for Macroeconomic Forecasting (2008)VARMA versus VAR for Macroeconomic Foreca…Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Many Predictors (2010)Macroeconomic Forecasting Usi…NONPARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP PROCEDURES FOR PREDICTIVE INFERENCE BASED ON RECURSIVE ESTIMATION SCHEMES* (2007)NONPARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP PROCE…Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability (2006)Tests of Conditional Predicti…What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? (2005)What does the yield curve tel…The importance of common cyclical features in VAR analysis: a Monte-Carlo study (2002)The importance of common cycl…A consistent test for nonlinear out of sample predictive accuracy (2002)A consistent test for nonline…Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models (2001)Tests of equal forecast accur…The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)The M3-Competition: results, …Data‐Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap (1999)Data‐Snooping, Technical Trad…A Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Univariate Models for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series (1999)A Comparison of Linear and No…Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability (1996)Asymptotic Inference about Pr…Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive AccuracyOn the limitations of comparing mean square forecast errors (1993)On the limitations of compari…Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis (1993)Introduction to Multiple Time…Macroeconomics and Reality (1980)Macroeconomics and RealityPractical Methods for Modeling Weak VARMA Processes: Identification, Estimation and Specification With a Macroeconomic Application (2021)Practical Methods for Modelin…Change detection in parametric multivariate dynamic data streams using the ARMAX-GARCH model (2021)Change detection in parametri…Using Local Information to Improve Short-Run Corn Price Forecasts (2018)Using Local Information to Im…Canadian monetary policy analysis using a structural VARMA model (2016)Canadian monetary policy anal…Bootstrap multi-step forecasts of non-Gaussian VAR models (2014)Bootstrap multi-step forecast…Implementation of multivariate cumulative sum control charts in mastitis and lameness monitoring (2013)Implementation of multivariat…Multivariate Exponential Smoothing for Forecasting Tourist Arrivals (2012)Multivariate Exponential Smoo…Variable selection, estimation and inference for multi-period forecasting problems (2011)Variable selection, estimatio…Pitfalls in Financial Model-Building (1968)Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior (1972)"Rational" Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule (1975)Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations (1982)Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation (1997)Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models (1998)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward (2018)Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions (2020)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes (2002)A Test for Superior Predictive Ability (2005)Large Bayesian vector auto regressions (2009)Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies (2010)Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns (1992)Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns (1993)Asymptotics for out of sample tests of Granger causality (2006)False Discoveries in Mutual Fund Performance: Measuring Luck in Estimated Alphas (2010)Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators (2014)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies (1983)Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root (1992)Small sample properties of forecasts from autoregressive models under structural breaks (2004)Persistence in forecasting performance and conditional combination strategies (2005)Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series (2010)Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns (2001)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)Discretion versus policy rules in practice (1993)A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series (2005)Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations (2012)Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management (1998)A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)? 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References

  • 1980Macroeconomics and Reality12,826 cited
  • 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
  • 1993Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis1,912 cited
  • 2000The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications1,700 cited
  • 2006Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability1,667 cited
  • 1996Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability1,415 cited
  • 2001Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models1,178 cited
  • 1999Data‐Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap1,024 cited
  • 2005What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?815 cited
  • 1999A Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Univariate Models for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series446 cited
  • 1993On the limitations of comparing mean square forecast errors392 cited
  • 2002A consistent test for nonlinear out of sample predictive accuracy121 cited
  • 2010Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Many Predictors106 cited
  • 2007NONPARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP PROCEDURES FOR PREDICTIVE INFERENCE BASED ON RECURSIVE ESTIMATION SCHEMES*104 cited
  • 2002The importance of common cyclical features in VAR analysis: a Monte-Carlo study94 cited

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Cited by

  • 2011Variable selection, estimation and inference for multi-period forecasting problems94 cited
  • 2018Using Local Information to Improve Short-Run Corn Price Forecasts71 cited
  • 2012Multivariate Exponential Smoothing for Forecasting Tourist Arrivals59 cited
  • 2021Practical Methods for Modeling Weak VARMA Processes: Identification, Estimation and Specification With a Macroeconomic Application40 cited
  • 2014Bootstrap multi-step forecasts of non-Gaussian VAR models35 cited
  • 2016Canadian monetary policy analysis using a structural VARMA model28 cited
  • 2013Implementation of multivariate cumulative sum control charts in mastitis and lameness monitoring26 cited
  • 2021Change detection in parametric multivariate dynamic data streams using the ARMAX-GARCH model12 cited