FEDERAL DEFICITS, MACRO‐STABILIZATION GOALS, AND FEDERAL RESERVE BEHAVIOR

W. Douglas McMillin

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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Global Financial Crisis and Policies Fiscal Policies and Political Economy

Abstract

The effects of federal deficits on Federal Reserve behavior as proxied by changes in the growth rate of the monetary base are analyzed in this study. Multivariate Granger‐causality tests are employed in the analysis. The deficit measure that is the focus of the analysis is the change in the real market value of privately held federal debt. The tests indicate that the deficit Granger‐causes the monetary base. Additionally, concerns for financial market stability, real output, and exchange rate movements in the period of floating rates also affect Federal Reserve behavior.

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References

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