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Using the Lee–Carter Method to Forecast Mortality for Populations with Limited Data*
8 references·16 citing·35 second hop
Using the Lee–Carter Method to Forecast Mortality for Populations with Limited Data* (2004)Using the Lee–Carter Method to Forecast M…World Population Prospects The 2006 Revision (2007)World Population Prospects Th…Broken Limits to Life Expectancy (2002)Broken Limits to Life Expecta…Evaluating the Performance of the Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality (2001)Evaluating the Performance of…Beyond six billion : forecasting the world's population (2000)Beyond six billion : forecast…A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries (2000)A universal pattern of mortal…How Accurate Are the United Nations World Population Projections? (1998)How Accurate Are the United N…Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality (1992)Modeling and Forecasting U. S…Revised Regional Model Life Tables at Very Low Levels of Mortality (1989)Revised Regional Model Life T…Thirty years on: A review of the Lee–Carter method for forecasting mortality (2022)Thirty years on: A review of …A Bayesian Approach to Developing a Stochastic Mortality Model for China (2019)A Bayesian Approach to Develo…Characterization of between-group inequality of longevity in European Union countries (2017)Characterization of between-g…A multi-population evaluation of the Poisson common factor model for projecting mortality jointly for both sexes (2016)A multi-population evaluation…Using bootstrapping to incorporate model error for risk-neutral pricing of longevity risk (2015)Using bootstrapping to incorp…China’s Marriage Squeeze: A Decomposition into Age and Sex Structure (2015)China’s Marriage Squeeze: A D…Cohort extensions of the Poisson common factor model for modelling both genders jointly (2014)Cohort extensions of the Pois…An application of MCMC simulation in mortality projection for populations with limited data (2014)An application of MCMC simula…A quantitative comparison of simulation strategies for mortality projection (2014)A quantitative comparison of …Forecasting Mortality for Small Populations by Mixing Mortality Data (2013)Forecasting Mortality for Sma…Stochastic Population Forecasts Based on Conditional Expert Opinions (2011)Stochastic Population Forecas…Explaining Mortality Dynamics (2011)Explaining Mortality DynamicsModeling Hazard Rates as Functional Data for the Analysis of Cohort Lifetables and Mortality Forecasting (2009)Modeling Hazard Rates as Func…Ageing of a giant: a stochastic population forecast for China, 2006–2060 (2009)Ageing of a giant: a stochast…Forecasting German mortality using panel data procedures (2006)Forecasting German mortality …Perspectives on mortality forecasting (2003)Perspectives on mortality for…The Modern Rise of Population (1977)Grandmothers and the evolution of human longevity (2003)Mortality Modelling and Forecasting: a Review of Methods (2008)The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality (1979)Aging, Natural Death, and the Compression of Morbidity (1980)A Potential Decline in Life Expectancy in the United States in the 21st Century (2005)A Potential Decline in Life Expectancy in the United States in the 21st Century (2005)Ageing populations: the challenges ahead (2009)A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods (2002)Grouped Functional Time Series Forecasting: An Application to Age-Specific Mortality Rates (2016)Gaussian process regression method for forecasting of mortality rates (2018)Modeling Time-Varying Variability and Reliability of Freeway Travel Time Using Functional Principal Component Analysis (2019)The Limits of Population Forecasting (1981)The Accuracy of Population Projections (1983)The Logic of Funding European Pension Restructuring and the Dangers of Financialisation (2003)Life-Expectancy Risk and Pensions (2007)Understanding variation in human fertility: what can we learn from evolutionary demography? 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The Uncertain Future of Mortality in High‐Income Countries (2024)Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations (1983)Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality (1992)Modified logit life table system: principles, empirical validation, and application (2003)Reflection on modern methods: years of life lost due to premature mortality—a versatile and comprehensive measure for monitoring non-communicable disease mortality (2018)Applying Lee-Carter under conditions of variable mortality decline (2002)Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review (2006)Projections of Global Mortality and Burden of Disease from 2002 to 2030 (2006)Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories (2018)The Emergence of Lowest‐Low Fertility in Europe During the 1990s (2002)Geographic Variations in Health Care (2014)Understanding factors influencing the adoption of mHealth by the elderly: An extension of the UTAUT model (2017)Europe's Population at a Turning Point (2003)The Economics of Transnational Living (2003)Bayesian probabilistic population projections for all countries (2012)
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References

  • 2007World Population Prospects The 2006 Revision7,865 cited
  • 2002Broken Limits to Life Expectancy2,818 cited
  • 1992Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality2,311 cited
  • 2000A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries532 cited
  • 2001Evaluating the Performance of the Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality523 cited
  • 2000Beyond six billion : forecasting the world's population297 cited
  • 1989Revised Regional Model Life Tables at Very Low Levels of Mortality181 cited
  • 1998How Accurate Are the United Nations World Population Projections?105 cited

Cited by

  • 2022Thirty years on: A review of the Lee–Carter method for forecasting mortality77 cited
  • 2009Modeling Hazard Rates as Functional Data for the Analysis of Cohort Lifetables and Mortality Forecasting64 cited
  • 2011Explaining Mortality Dynamics64 cited
  • 2009Ageing of a giant: a stochastic population forecast for China, 2006–206039 cited
  • 2014A quantitative comparison of simulation strategies for mortality projection38 cited
  • 2011Stochastic Population Forecasts Based on Conditional Expert Opinions31 cited
  • 2017Characterization of between-group inequality of longevity in European Union countries

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30 cited
  • 2003Perspectives on mortality forecasting27 cited
  • 2014Cohort extensions of the Poisson common factor model for modelling both genders jointly22 cited
  • 2014An application of MCMC simulation in mortality projection for populations with limited data21 cited
  • 2006Forecasting German mortality using panel data procedures21 cited
  • 2015China’s Marriage Squeeze: A Decomposition into Age and Sex Structure20 cited
  • 2013Forecasting Mortality for Small Populations by Mixing Mortality Data19 cited
  • 2019A Bayesian Approach to Developing a Stochastic Mortality Model for China18 cited
  • 2015Using bootstrapping to incorporate model error for risk-neutral pricing of longevity risk18 cited
  • 2016A multi-population evaluation of the Poisson common factor model for projecting mortality jointly for both sexes18 cited