Fire Safety Risk Analysis of a Health Care Facility

Abstract

A methodology for deriving individual risk to people in a health care facility due to fire, is presented. The risk is expressed by the First Order Second Moment reliability index ß. The evacuation time for the patients is compared to the time to untenable conditions arise. Subjecting variables to uncertainty results in a reliability index value for the escape time margin. The influence on reliability index of various number of staff is examined. The scenarios are presented with the event tree methodology.

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