An Examination of the Reliability of Prestigious Scholarly Journals: Evidence and Implications for Decision‐Makers

Abstract

Scientific‐funding bodies are increasingly under pressure to use journal rankings to measure research quality. Hiring and promotion committees routinely hear an equivalent argument: ‘this is important work because it is to be published in prestigious journal X’. But how persuasive is such an argument? This paper examines data on citations to articles published 25 years ago. It finds that it is better to write the best article published in an issue of a medium‐quality journal such as the OBES than all four of the worst four articles published in an issue of an elite journal like the AER. Decision‐makers need to understand this.

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No public copy is stored for this record, so only the metadata is cited.

Stored only when both papers are in the corpus — 214 citations exist upstream.

Papers that cite the same references — the relational fallback while embeddings are still backfilling.