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Estimates of the Output Gap in Real Time: How well have we been doing?
16 references·1 citing·44 second hop
Estimates of the Output Gap in Real Time: How well have we been doing? (2004)Estimates of the Output Gap in Real Time:…Measurement of the Output Gap: A Discussion of Recent Research at the Bank of Canada (2021)Measurement of the Output Gap…A Simple Multivariate Filter for the Measurement of Potential Output (2021)A Simple Multivariate Filter …Tracking the new economy: Using growth theory to detect changes in trend productivity (2006)Tracking the new economy: Usi…The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time (2005)The Reliability of Inflation …A Multivariate Filter for Measuring Potential Output and the NAIRU Application to the Czech Republic (2004)A Multivariate Filter for Mea…UK inflation in the 1970s and 1980s: the role of output gap mismeasurement (2003)UK inflation in the 1970s and…The Information Content of Real-Time Output Gap Estimates: An Application to the Euro Area (2003)The Information Content of Re…Historical Monetary Policy Analysis and the Taylor Rule (2003)Historical Monetary Policy An…Estimating Potential Output: A Semi-Structural Approach (2003)Estimating Potential Output: …The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time (2002)The Unreliability of Output-G…The Reserve Bank's forecasting performance (2002)The Reserve Bank's forecastin…Output Gaps in Real Time: Are They Reliable Enough to Use for Monetary Policy? (2002)Output Gaps in Real Time: Are…Monetary policy and forecasting inflation with and without the output gap (2002)Monetary policy and forecasti…Measuring Business Cycles in Economic Time Series (2001)Measuring Business Cycles in …Estimating output gaps (1998)Estimating output gapsThe Hodrick-Prescott technique: A smoother versus a filter (1997)The Hodrick-Prescott techniqu…Do the Central Banks of Australia and New Zealand Behave Asymmetrically? Evidence from Monetary Policy Reaction Functions* (2007)Do the Central Banks of Austr…Detrending, stylized facts and the business cycle (1993)Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation (1997)Disagreement about Inflation Expectations (2003)The quest for prosperity without inflation (2003)New Evidence on the Interest Rate Effects of Budget Deficits and Debt (2009)The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957 1 (1958)Real-Time Estimation of Trend Output and the Illusion of Interest Rate Smoothing (2002)On money and output: Is money redundant? (2006)Comparing Alternative Output-Gap Estimators: A Monte Carlo Approach (2021)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)Evaluating Direct Multistep Forecasts (2005)Macroeconomic Forecasting With Mixed-Frequency Data (2008)Individual time series and composite forecasting of the Chinese stock index (2021)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis (1989)Robust Monetary Policy Rules with Unknown Natural Rates (2003)Estimating potential output and the output gap for the euro area: a model-based production function approach (2006)Real-Time Representations of the Output Gap (2008)Discretion versus policy rules in practice (1993)Monetary policy rules in practice (1998)INTEREST AND PRICES: FOUNDATIONS OF A THEORY OF MONETARY POLICY (2005)Opting Out of the Great Inflation: German Monetary Policy After the Break Down of Bretton Woods (2008)The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap (2011)Taylor rules and monetary policy: a global "Great Deviation"? (2012)The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective (1999)Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory* (2000)Macro Factors and the Term Structure of Interest Rates (2006)Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation, and the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation (2011)A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth (1956)A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models (1991)The information content of capacity utilization for detrending total factor productivity (2012)The Expectations-driven US Current Account (2017)How stimulative are low real interest rates for intangible capital? (2021)Cyclical sensitivity of fiscal policies based on real-time data (2004)Estimating Equilibrium Real Interest Rates in Real Time (2004)Modelling phase shifts among stochastic cycles (2004)Output gaps and monetary policy in the EMU area (1999)Economic Growth in the OECD Area (2000)The sources of economic growth in OECD countries (2004)Cyclically Adjusted Budget Balances: An Alternative Approach (2003)Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle (2003)The effects of a celebrity suicide on suicide rates in Hong Kong (2006)
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References

  • 2002The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time944 cited
  • 2003Historical Monetary Policy Analysis and the Taylor Rule308 cited
  • 2005The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time266 cited
  • 2021A Simple Multivariate Filter for the Measurement of Potential Output174 cited
  • 2021Measurement of the Output Gap: A Discussion of Recent Research at the Bank of Canada121 cited
  • 2003UK inflation in the 1970s and 1980s: the role of output gap mismeasurement117 cited
  • 2006Tracking the new economy: Using growth theory to detect changes in trend productivity115 cited
  • 2001Measuring Business Cycles in Economic Time Series112 cited
  • 1998Estimating output gaps67 cited
  • 2003The Information Content of Real-Time Output Gap Estimates: An Application to the Euro Area58 cited
  • 2004A Multivariate Filter for Measuring Potential Output and the NAIRU Application to the Czech Republic54 cited
  • 2003Estimating Potential Output: A Semi-Structural Approach46 cited
  • 1997The Hodrick-Prescott technique: A smoother versus a filter39 cited
  • 2002Output Gaps in Real Time: Are They Reliable Enough to Use for Monetary Policy?32 cited
  • 2002Monetary policy and forecasting inflation with and without the output gap

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21 cited
  • 2002The Reserve Bank's forecasting performance20 cited
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    • 2007Do the Central Banks of Australia and New Zealand Behave Asymmetrically? Evidence from Monetary Policy Reaction Functions*14 cited