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Seasonal Adjustment and the Detection of Business Cycle Phases
16 references·0 citing·45 second hopsampled
Seasonal Adjustment and the Detection of Business Cycle Phases (2004)Seasonal Adjustment and the Detection of …Issues Involved With the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series (2002)Issues Involved With the Seas…Why do regime-switching models forecast so badly? (1999)Why do regime-switching model…The cyclical sensitivity of seasonality in U.S. employment (1999)The cyclical sensitivity of s…Does seasonality influence the dating of business cycle turning points? (1999)Does seasonality influence th…Asymptotic Null Distribution of the Likelihood Ratio Test in Markov Switching Models (1998)Asymptotic Null Distribution …The effect of linear filters on dynamic time series with structural change (1996)The effect of linear filters …Specification testing in Markov-switching time-series models (1996)Specification testing in Mark…Is Seasonal Adjustment a Linear or Nonlinear Data-Filtering Process? (1996)Is Seasonal Adjustment a Line…Erratum: The likelihood ratio test under nonstandard conditions: Testing the Markov switching model of GNP (1996)Erratum: The likelihood ratio…Changes in seasonal patterns (1994)Changes in seasonal patternsThe effect of seasonal adjustment filters on tests for a unit root (1993)The effect of seasonal adjust…A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)A New Approach to the Economi…The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle (1988)The Seasonal Cycle and the Bu…Unobserved-Components Models for Seasonal Adjustment Filters (1984)Unobserved-Components Models …Seasonal Adjustment and Relations Between Variables (1974)Seasonal Adjustment and Relat…Does Seasonality Change over the Business Cycle? An Investigation using Monthly Industrial Production SeriesDoes Seasonality Change over …Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Regime-Switching GARCH Models (2005)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series (2010)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point (1993)Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2001)Regime Switches in Interest Rates (2002)An econometric model of serial correlation and illiquidity in hedge fund returns (2004)The X-11 variant of the census method II seasonal adjustment program (1965)The Typical Spectral Shape of an Economic Variable (1966)Ten economic studies in the tradition of Irving Fisher (1967)Measures of Conditional Linear Dependence and Feedback Between Time Series (1984)Dynamic Econometrics (1995)Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices (2003)The Summation of Random Causes as the Source of Cyclic Processes (1937)Book Review: Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)AN INTRODUCTION TO LONG‐MEMORY TIME SERIES MODELS AND FRACTIONAL DIFFERENCING (1980)Seasonal integration and cointegration (1990)Modeling and forecasting tourism demand for arrivals with stochastic nonstationary seasonality and intervention (2002)Neural network forecasting for seasonal and trend time series (2003)Long Swings in the Dollar: Are They in the Data and Do Markets Know It? (1990)Inference When a Nuisance Parameter Is Not Identified Under the Null Hypothesis (1996)Modeling the conditional distribution of interest rates as a regime-switching process (1996)Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed Since the Early 1980's? (2000)SMOOTH TRANSITION AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS — A SURVEY OF RECENT DEVELOPMENTS (2002)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models (1991)Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation (1991)A Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Univariate Models for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series (1999)An Empirical Comparison of Machine Learning Models for Time Series Forecasting (2010)Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series (1982)The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis (1989)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root (1979)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root (1979)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know about Unit Roots (1991)Numerical distribution functions for unit root and cointegration tests (1996)Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations (1982)Real Rigidities and the Non-Neutrality of Money (1987)Detrending, stylized facts and the business cycle (1993)Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation (1997)Business-Cycle Phases and Their Transitional Dynamics (1994)Has the U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based on a Markov-Switching Model of the Business Cycle (1999)
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References

  • 1989A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle9,681 cited
  • 1996Erratum: The likelihood ratio test under nonstandard conditions: Testing the Markov switching model of GNP645 cited
  • 1998Asymptotic Null Distribution of the Likelihood Ratio Test in Markov Switching Models551 cited
  • 1996Specification testing in Markov-switching time-series models476 cited
  • 1974Seasonal Adjustment and Relations Between Variables414 cited
  • 1988The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle260 cited
  • 2002Issues Involved With the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series249 cited
  • 1993The effect of seasonal adjustment filters on tests for a unit root240 cited
  • 1999Why do regime-switching models forecast so badly?216 cited
  • 1996Is Seasonal Adjustment a Linear or Nonlinear Data-Filtering Process?90 cited
  • 1994Changes in seasonal patterns72 cited
  • n.d.Does Seasonality Change over the Business Cycle? An Investigation using Monthly Industrial Production Series58 cited
  • 1984Unobserved-Components Models for Seasonal Adjustment Filters53 cited
  • 1996The effect of linear filters on dynamic time series with structural change33 cited
  • 1999The cyclical sensitivity of seasonality in U.S. employment

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26 cited
  • 1999Does seasonality influence the dating of business cycle turning points?25 cited
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