Articlebronze2015

CO2emissions from Iran's power sector and analysis of the influencing factors using the stochastic impacts by regression on population, affluence and technology (STIRPAT) model

Alireza R. Noorpoor · Saeed Nazari Kudahi

68 citations0/0 files storedCarbon Management

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Energy, Environment, Economic Growth Renewable energy and sustainable power systems Environmental Impact and Sustainability

Abstract

The current status of CO2 emissions from Iran's power sector and the socio-economic factors that influence these emissions are fully covered in this paper. To begin, the amount of CO2 emissions is calculated based on the IPCC guidelines for national GHG inventories. The analysis of socio-economic influencing parameters is performed by the stochastic impacts by regression on population, affluence and technology (STIRPAT) model using population size, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, electricity intensity and consumption of energy resources for electricity generation. Then CO2 emissions related to the electricity consumption in six sectors (residential, industrial, public, agriculture, trade and lighting) as well as grid losses and internal electricity consumption of power plants are estimated. Finally, CO2 emissions from Iran's power sector are compared with their alternatives in Turkey and China. The results indicate that CO2 emissions increased from 78.778 Tg in 2003 to 149.691 Tg in 2013, and the average CO2 specific emission factor is 571.29 g/kWh. The outputs of the STIRPAT model illustrate that population size, GDP per capita, electricity intensity and the consumption of fossil fuels for electricity generation positively influence CO2 emissions, while electricity generation by hydropower, renewable energies and nuclear energy negatively do.

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References

2009CO2 emissions from fuel combustion: highlights 2013Non-renewable and renewable energy consumption and CO2 emissions in OECD countries: A comparative analysis 2011The impact of urbanization on CO2 emissions: Evidence from developing countries 2013Examining the impact factors of energy-related CO2 emissions using the STIRPAT model in Guangdong Province, China 2010Economic growth, CO2 emissions, and fossil fuels consumption in Iran 2012An empirical research on the influencing factors of regional CO2 emissions: Evidence from Beijing city, China 2012The impacts of population change on carbon emissions in China during 1978–2008 2009Analysis of the environmental impact of China based on STIRPAT model

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