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Fifty years of United Kingdom national population projections: how accurate have they been?

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References

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2004Empirical errors and predicted errors in fertility, mortality and migration forecasts in the European economic area66 cited

Cited by

2019Assessing time series models for forecasting international migration: Lessons from the United Kingdom53 cited
20102008-based national population projections for the United Kingdom and constituent countries31 cited
2011THE FORECAST ACCURACY OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA POPULATION PROJECTIONS: A CASE STUDY OF QUEENSLAND28 cited
2011Lessons from stochastic small-area population projections: the case of Waikato subregions in New Zealand27 cited
2008Fertility assumptions for the 2006-based national population projections.23 cited
2021Mortality forecasting using stacked regression ensembles21 cited
2021Gompertz law revisited: Forecasting mortality with a multi-factor exponential model17 cited
2010A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales17 cited
2014Population Projections by Age for Florida and its Counties: Assessing Accuracy and the Impact of Adjustments14 cited
2015On the decomposition of life expectancy and limits to life14 cited
2018

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Longevity: A New Asset Class

12 cited

2014Population 10 Billion: The Coming Demographic Crisis and How to Survive It; 10 Billion12 cited

2019The Shelf Life of Official Sub-National Population Forecasts in England11 cited

2016Fertility and Population Change in the United Kingdom11 cited

2012A new method of projecting populations based on trends in life expectancy and survival10 cited