Mathematical Principles of the Dynamic Forecasting Model of the Aggregate Demand in the Russian Federation

Abstract

Today there is a variety of methods and approaches to prognosticating economic indexes. The issue of their application in the Russian reality and satisfaction of clients' needs is of paramount importance. The selected CGE-model method is conditional upon the customers' need to have a possibility to not only provide scenario variants of the economic development forecast in the Russian regions, but also to predic t consequences by changing regulation characteristics of certain economy management areas. This article exposes the main mathematical functions reflecting the principles of dynamic modeling and forecasting of the economy of the Russian regions.

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