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Testing for structural stability of factor augmented forecasting models
16 references·9 citing·34 second hop
Testing for structural stability of factor augmented forecasting models (2014)Testing for structural stability of facto…Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size (2012)Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests …Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models (2010)Testing for structural breaks…Testing Hypotheses About the Number of Factors in Large Factor Models (2009)Testing Hypotheses About the …Forecasting in Dynamic Factor Models Subject to Structural Instability* (2009)Forecasting in Dynamic Factor…Selection of estimation window in the presence of breaks (2006)Selection of estimation windo…Confidence Intervals for Diffusion Index Forecasts and Inference for Factor-Augmented Regressions (2006)Confidence Intervals for Diff…Asymptotics for out of sample tests of Granger causality (2006)Asymptotics for out of sample…Pooling of forecasts (2004)Pooling of forecastsCombination forecasts of output growth in a seven‐country data set (2004)Combination forecasts of outp…Inferential Theory for Factor Models of Large Dimensions (2003)Inferential Theory for Factor…Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes (2002)Macroeconomic Forecasting Usi…Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors (2002)Forecasting Using Principal C…Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models (2002)Determining the Number of Fac…Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability (1998)Regression-Based Tests of Pre…Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive AccuracySome Invariance Principles and Central Limit Theorems for Dependent Heterogeneous Processes (1988)Some Invariance Principles an…Online change-point detection for matrix-valued time series with latent two-way factor structure (2024)Online change-point detection…Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them (2021)Forecasting in the Presence o…Sequential testing for structural stability in approximate factor models (2020)Sequential testing for struct…Estimating and Testing High Dimensional Factor Models With Multiple Structural Changes (2019)Estimating and Testing High D…Bootstrap inference for impulse response functions in factor‐augmented vector autoregressions (2018)Bootstrap inference for impul…Estimation and Inference of Change Points in High Dimensional Factor Models (2017)Estimation and Inference of C…Identification and estimation of a large factor model with structural instability (2016)Identification and estimation…Econometric Analysis of Large Factor Models (2016)Econometric Analysis of Large…Bootstrapping factor-augmented regression models (2014)Bootstrapping factor-augmente…Tests for Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation (1989)Forecasting inflation (1999)A PANIC Attack on Unit Roots and Cointegration (2004)Panel Data Models With Interactive Fixed Effects (2009)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators (1989)Transition Modeling and Econometric Convergence Tests (2007)Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies (1983)Forecasting stock market returns: The sum of the parts is more than the whole (2011)Forecasting Stock Returns (2013)Short interest and aggregate stock returns (2016)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point (1993)Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters (2016)Corn Cash Price Forecasting (2020)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Deep neural networks, gradient-boosted trees, random forests: Statistical arbitrage on the S&P 500 (2016)Evaluating Interval Forecasts (1998)Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models (1998)Bridge models to forecast the euro area GDP (2003)Chapter 10 Forecasting with Many Predictors (2006)Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How? (2013)Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation (1991)Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data (1998)Large Dimensional Factor Analysis (2008)A Quasi–Maximum Likelihood Approach for Large, Approximate Dynamic Factor Models (2011)Grouped Patterns of Heterogeneity in Panel Data (2015)Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with a Multifactor Error Structure (2006)Measuring Uncertainty (2015)Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts (1998)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)
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References

  • 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
  • 2002Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models4,110 cited
  • 2002Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors2,990 cited
  • 2002Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes2,550 cited
  • 2003Inferential Theory for Factor Models of Large Dimensions1,688 cited
  • 2004Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven‐country data set1,138 cited
  • 2006Asymptotics for out of sample tests of Granger causality697 cited
  • 2006Confidence Intervals for Diffusion Index Forecasts and Inference for Factor-Augmented Regressions629 cited
  • 2004Pooling of forecasts484 cited
  • 2006Selection of estimation window in the presence of breaks473 cited
  • 2009Testing Hypotheses About the Number of Factors in Large Factor Models428 cited
  • 2012Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size404 cited
  • 1998Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability286 cited
  • 1988Some Invariance Principles and Central Limit Theorems for Dependent Heterogeneous Processes254 cited
  • 2009Forecasting in Dynamic Factor Models Subject to Structural Instability*248 cited

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  • 2010Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models208 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2014Bootstrapping factor-augmented regression models107 cited
    • 2016Econometric Analysis of Large Factor Models88 cited
    • 2021Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them65 cited
    • 2016Identification and estimation of a large factor model with structural instability54 cited
    • 2019Estimating and Testing High Dimensional Factor Models With Multiple Structural Changes44 cited
    • 2017Estimation and Inference of Change Points in High Dimensional Factor Models38 cited
    • 2018Bootstrap inference for impulse response functions in factor‐augmented vector autoregressions27 cited
    • 2020Sequential testing for structural stability in approximate factor models17 cited
    • 2024Online change-point detection for matrix-valued time series with latent two-way factor structure14 cited