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Fiscal Forecast Errors: Governments vs Independent Agencies?
16 references·4 citing·49 second hopsampled
Fiscal Forecast Errors: Governments vs Independent Agencies? (2012)Fiscal Forecast Errors: Governments vs In…Envy and Habits: Panel Data Estimates of Interdependent Preferences (2015)Envy and Habits: Panel Data E…Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Models in Real Time (2012)Markov-Switching Dynamic Fact…The political economy of EDP fiscal forecasts: An empirical assessment (2011)The political economy of EDP …Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals (2011)Short-run forecasting of the …Income and Democracy: Revisiting the Evidence (2011)Income and Democracy: Revisit…The Design of Fiscal Rules and Forms of Governance in European Union Countries (2009)The Design of Fiscal Rules an…Planning to cheat: EU fiscal policy in real time (2009)Planning to cheat: EU fiscal …INDEPENDENT FISCAL AGENCIES (2009)INDEPENDENT FISCAL AGENCIESThe design of fiscal rules and forms of governance in European Union countries (2007)The design of fiscal rules an…Enforcement and the Stability and Growth Pact (2006)Enforcement and the Stability…Do Eurozone Countries Cheat with their Budget Deficit Forecasts? (2006)Do Eurozone Countries Cheat w…How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus (2001)How useful are the forecasts …Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC (2001)Fiscal forecasting: The track…The accuracy of IMF and OECD forecasts for G7 countries (2000)The accuracy of IMF and OECD …On the Performance and Use of Government Revenue Forecasts (1999)On the Performance and Use of…Political and organizational influences on the accuracy of forecasting state government revenues (1989)Political and organizational …Fiscal Targets. A Guide to Forecasters? (2015)Fiscal Targets. A Guide to Fo…Fiscal Policies in Spain: Main Stylised Facts Revisited (2014)Fiscal Policies in Spain: Mai…The Impact of Interbank and Public Debt Markets on the Competition for Bank Deposits (2013)The Impact of Interbank and P…Why Do Spanish Firms Rarely Use the Bankruptcy System? The Role of the Mortgage Institution (2012)Why Do Spanish Firms Rarely U…Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data (2001)Political Economics: Explaining Economic Policy (2002)The Good Governance Agenda: Beyond Indicators without Theory (2008)What Should Fiscal Councils Do? (2011)Do fiscal rules constrain fiscal policy? A meta-regression-analysis (2017)Econometric Analysis of Panel Data (2021)Why Are Stabilizations Delayed?An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output (1999)An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output (2002)A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile (2011)Over-optimism in forecasts by official budget agencies and its implications (2011)Procyclicality of fiscal policy in European Union countries (2020)Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation (1979)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)Averages of Forecasts: Some Empirical Results (1983)A Dynamic Model of State Budget Outcomes under Divided Partisan Government (2000)A field study of sales forecasting accuracy and processes (2000)Factors behind Organizational Learning from Benchmarking: Experiences from Norwegian Municipal Benchmarking Networks (2007)Survey of current business (1921)On the Accuracy of Economic Observations. (1951)What do Economists Know? An Empirical Study of Experts' Expectations (1981)Directional accuracy tests of long-term interest rate forecasts (2002)Combining volatility and smoothing forecasts of UK demand for international tourism (2008)Fiscal Forecasting: Lessons from the Literature and Challenges* (2008)Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans (1977)The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target (1985)Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles (1987)How Can Fiscal Councils Strengthen Fiscal Performance? (2011)Fiscal Rules: Theoretical Issues and Historical Experiences (2012)Balanced budget rules and fiscal outcomes: Evidence from historical constitutions (2018)The Political Business Cycle (1975)Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy (1977)Incumbent performance and electoral control (1986)Sticking to fiscal plans: the role of institutions (2010)Independent fiscal councils: Recent trends and performance (2018)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Bias in macroeconomic forecasts (2007)Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7 (2010)A dynamical systems approach to gross domestic product forecasting (2018)Tied to the mast? National fiscal rules in the European Union (2008)Fiscal adjustment to cyclical developments in the OECD: an empirical analysis based on real-time data (2009)Fiscal Governance in Europe (2009)National numerical fiscal rules: Not complied with, but still effective? (2015)Analyst Forecasts and Herding Behavior: (1994)Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)Veto Players. How Political Institutions Work (2003)Partisan politics: The empirical evidence from OECD panel studies (2016)
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References

  • 2007The design of fiscal rules and forms of governance in European Union countries337 cited
  • 2009The Design of Fiscal Rules and Forms of Governance in European Union Countries296 cited
  • 2009INDEPENDENT FISCAL AGENCIES240 cited
  • 2009Planning to cheat: EU fiscal policy in real time174 cited
  • 2001How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus137 cited
  • 1989Political and organizational influences on the accuracy of forecasting state government revenues136 cited
  • 2000The accuracy of IMF and OECD forecasts for G7 countries132 cited
  • 2011The political economy of EDP fiscal forecasts: An empirical assessment132 cited
  • 2006Do Eurozone Countries Cheat with their Budget Deficit Forecasts?130 cited
  • 2001Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC123 cited
  • 2006Enforcement and the Stability and Growth Pact121 cited
  • 1999On the Performance and Use of Government Revenue Forecasts110 cited
  • 2011Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals109 cited
  • 2011Income and Democracy: Revisiting the Evidence100 cited
  • 2012Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Models in Real Time

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99 cited
  • 2015Envy and Habits: Panel Data Estimates of Interdependent Preferences98 cited
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    • 2015Fiscal Targets. A Guide to Forecasters?58 cited
    • 2014Fiscal Policies in Spain: Main Stylised Facts Revisited56 cited
    • 2013The Impact of Interbank and Public Debt Markets on the Competition for Bank Deposits20 cited
    • 2012Why Do Spanish Firms Rarely Use the Bankruptcy System? The Role of the Mortgage Institution14 cited