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Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years
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Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years (2014)Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest…The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts* (2012)The Role of Central Bank Tran…Imperfect Central Bank Communication: Information versus Distraction (2012)Imperfect Central Bank Commun…Optimal central bank transparency (2010)Optimal central bank transpar…Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence (2008)Central Bank Communication an…Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss? (2008)Biases in Macroeconomic Forec…Can Central Bank Transparency Go Too Far? (2007)Can Central Bank Transparency…Social Value of Public Information: Morris and Shin (2002) Is Actually Pro-Transparency, Not Con: Reply (2006)Social Value of Public Inform…Social Value of Public Information: Comment: Morris and Shin (2002) Is Actually Pro-Transparency, Not Con (2006)Social Value of Public Inform…Can Central Bank Transparency Go Too Far? (2004)Can Central Bank Transparency…Disagreement about Inflation Expectations (2003)Disagreement about Inflation …Survey Measures of Expected Inflation: Revisiting the Issues of Predictive Content and Rationality (2002)Survey Measures of Expected I…Social Value of Public Information (2002)Social Value of Public Inform…Federal Reserve Information and the Behavior of Interest Rates (2000)Federal Reserve Information a…Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)Testing the equality of predi…Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive AccuracyParsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves (1987)Parsimonious Modeling of Yiel…Macroeconomics and Reality (1980)Rules, discretion and reputation in a model of monetary policy (1983)The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News: Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models (2005)Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation (2016)Deconstructing Monetary Policy Surprises: The Role of Information Shocks (2018)American Economic Review (2019)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability (2006)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)A Simple Model of Herd Behavior (1992)Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics (2003)Capital regulation, risk-taking and monetary policy: A missing link in the transmission mechanism? (2011)The Causal Impact of Media in Financial Markets (2011)The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective (1999)INTEREST AND PRICES: FOUNDATIONS OF A THEORY OF MONETARY POLICY (2005)MACROPRUDENTIAL POLICY – A LITERATURE REVIEW (2010)The Pre-FOMC Announcement Drift (2012)The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks (2017)The equity premium: A puzzle (1985)Herd Behavior and Investment (1988)The Role of Monetary Policy (1995)Chapter 14 Survey Expectations (2006)The Determinants of Stock and Bond Return Comovements (2009)Quantiles as optimal point forecasts (2010)Macroeconomic Expectations of Households and Professional Forecasters (2003)Perspectives on Behavioral Finance: Does "Irrationality" Disappear with Wealth? Evidence from Expectations and Actions (2003)Disagreement and the Stock Market (2007)Central Banking in Theory and Practice (1998)Optimal Degree of Public Information Dissemination (2008)Transparency of Information and Coordination in Economies with Investment Complementarities (2004)A global index of information transparency and accountability (2014)Information Acquisition and Welfare (2014)Communication Technology and Protest (2015)Explaining the Rate Spread on Corporate Bonds (2001)Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields (2003)The U.S. Treasury yield curve: 1961 to the present (2007)Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts (1998)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)
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References

  • 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
  • 1987Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves2,918 cited
  • 1997Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors2,103 cited
  • 2002Social Value of Public Information1,982 cited
  • 2008Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence1,391 cited
  • 2000Federal Reserve Information and the Behavior of Interest Rates1,049 cited
  • 2003Disagreement about Inflation Expectations765 cited
  • 2008Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?272 cited
  • 2006Social Value of Public Information: Morris and Shin (2002) Is Actually Pro-Transparency, Not Con: Reply239 cited
  • 2006Social Value of Public Information: Comment: Morris and Shin (2002) Is Actually Pro-Transparency, Not Con215 cited
  • 2004Can Central Bank Transparency Go Too Far?154 cited
  • 2012The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts*144 cited
  • 2007Can Central Bank Transparency Go Too Far?120 cited
  • 2010Optimal central bank transparency118 cited
  • 2002Survey Measures of Expected Inflation: Revisiting the Issues of Predictive Content and Rationality100 cited

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  • 2012Imperfect Central Bank Communication: Information versus Distraction61 cited
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