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Probability assessment: Continuous quantities and probability decomposition
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Probability assessment: Continuous quantities and probability decomposition (2015)Probability assessment: Continuous quanti…Overconfidence in Interval Estimates. (2004)Overconfidence in Interval Es…The False Consensus Effect and Overconfidence: Flaws in Judgment or Flaws in How We Study Judgment? (1996)The False Consensus Effect an…Overconfidence in Probability and Frequency Judgments: A Critical Examination (1996)Overconfidence in Probability…The Overconfidence Phenomenon as a Consequence of Informal Experimenter-Guided Selection of Almanac Items (1994)The Overconfidence Phenomenon…Experts in uncertainty (1993)Experts in uncertaintyMaking Hard Decisions, an Introduction to Decision Analysis (1992)Making Hard Decisions, an Int…Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method (1987)Components of probability jud…Decision analysis and behavioral research (1986)Decision analysis and behavio…Biased evaluation and persistence in gambling. (1983)Biased evaluation and persist…External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score (1982)External correspondence: Deco…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…A progress report on the training of probability assessors (1982)A progress report on the trai…Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions (1976)Scoring Rules for Continuous …Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Decision Analysis: Introducto…The theory of decision making. (1954)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Best-worst multi-criteria decision-making method (2014)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)La prévision : ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives (1937)Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions (1975)Comparing Density Forecasts Using Threshold- and Quantile-Weighted Scoring Rules (2010)Forecast Verification (2011)Probabilistic Forecasting (2014)Statistical principles in experimental design. (1962)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Gender and Competition (2011)Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science (2012)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (1996)Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? An Experimental Comparison of Observation and Cheap Talk (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors (2000)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Risk management processes in supplier networks (2004)Multi-criteria analysis: a manual (2009)The Economic Theory of Agency: The Principal's Problem. (1973)
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References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 1986Decision analysis and behavioral research3,035 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1969Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty.1,928 cited
  • 1992Making Hard Decisions, an Introduction to Decision Analysis1,450 cited
  • 1976Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions950 cited
  • 1982A progress report on the training of probability assessors859 cited
  • 2004Overconfidence in Interval Estimates.508 cited
  • 1982External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score428 cited
  • 1983Biased evaluation and persistence in gambling.409 cited
  • 1993Experts in uncertainty403 cited
  • 1994The Overconfidence Phenomenon as a Consequence of Informal Experimenter-Guided Selection of Almanac Items323 cited
  • 1996Overconfidence in Probability and Frequency Judgments: A Critical Examination297 cited
  • 1996The False Consensus Effect and Overconfidence: Flaws in Judgment or Flaws in How We Study Judgment?239 cited

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  • 1987Components of probability judgment accuracy: Individual consistency and effects of subject matter and assessment method233 cited
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