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A. P. Dawid

35 citations0/0 files storedJournal of the American Statistical Association

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Forecasting Techniques and Applications Probability and Statistical Research Statistical Methods and Inference

Abstract

Oakes's argument shows that no statistical analysis, however complex, of sequential data can be guaranteed to provide asymptotically valid forecasts for every possible set of outcomes.

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1968The Philosophy of Rudolf Carnap.

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2007Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness 2010A Geometric Proof of Calibration

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