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Should Bayesians sometimes neglect base rates?
16 references·16 citing·25 second hopsampled
Should Bayesians sometimes neglect base rates? (1981)Should Bayesians sometimes neglect base r…Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. (1983)Human Inference: Strategies a…Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: H…The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)The Framing of Decisions and …Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Subjective probability: A jud…Imre Lakatos and Musgrave Alan (eds.). Criticism and the growth of knowledge. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1970. 282 pp. np. (1972)Imre Lakatos and Musgrave Ala…Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Belief in the law of small nu…Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge (1970)Criticism and the Growth of K…ASPECTS OF THE THEORY OF SYNTAX (1964)ASPECTS OF THE THEORY OF SYNT…Word and Object (1960)Word and ObjectThe Logic of Scientific Discovery. (1959)The Logic of Scientific Disco…Models of Man. (1959)Models of Man.Fact, Fiction, and Forecast. (1955)Fact, Fiction, and Forecast.A Treatise of Human Nature (1739)A Treatise of Human NatureWhy do frequency formats improve Bayesian reasoning? Cognitive algorithms work on information, which needs representation (1996)Why do frequency formats impr…The purpose of experiments: Ecological validity versus comparing hypotheses (1996)The purpose of experiments: E…The implicit use of base rates in experiential and ecologically valid tasks (1996)The implicit use of base rate…The base rate controversy: Is the glass half-full or half-empty? (1996)The base rate controversy: Is…Studying the use of base rates: Normal science or shifting paradigm? (1996)Studying the use of base rate…Judgment under uncertainty: Evolution may not favor a probabilistic calculus (1996)Judgment under uncertainty: E…How to reconsider the base rate fallacy without forgetting the concept of systematic processing (1996)How to reconsider the base ra…First things first: What is a base rate? (1996)First things first: What is a…Fallacy and controversy about base rates (1996)Fallacy and controversy about…Critical and natural sensitivity to base rates (1996)Critical and natural sensitiv…Cognitive algebra versus representativeness heuristic (1996)Cognitive algebra versus repr…Base rates, experience, and the big picture (1996)Base rates, experience, and t…Base rates do not constrain nonprobability judgments (1996)Base rates do not constrain n…A catalog of errors (1992)A catalog of errorsSome Reasons for Distinguishing Between “Non-normative Response” and “Irrational Decision” (1987)Some Reasons for Distinguishi…Is irrationality systematic? (1983)Is irrationality systematic?Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Perception of Risk (1987)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Toward a Theory of Situation Awareness in Dynamic Systems (1995)Framing Processes and Social Movements: An Overview and Assessment (2000)The empirical case for two systems of reasoning. (1996)Are Emotions Natural Kinds? (2006)Learning by Expanding (2014)Social Theory of International Politics (1999)Stanford encyclopedia of philosophy (2002)The Grammar of Society (2005)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)The social constructionist movement in modern psychology. (1985)The Rediscovery of the Mind (1992)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Principles and Practice in Second Language Acquisition (1983)The Faculty of Language: What Is It, Who Has It, and How Did It Evolve? (2002)Mindfulness-Based Interventions in Context: Past, Present, and Future (2003)Grounded theory research: Procedures, canons, and evaluative criteria (1990)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)Seeking Qualitative Rigor in Inductive Research (2012)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
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References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1981The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice17,834 cited
  • 1964ASPECTS OF THE THEORY OF SYNTAX13,579 cited
  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 1739A Treatise of Human Nature9,842 cited
  • 1959The Logic of Scientific Discovery.7,499 cited
  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1960Word and Object5,851 cited
  • 1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness4,876 cited
  • 1955Fact, Fiction, and Forecast.4,377 cited
  • 1983Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment.4,196 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases3,643 cited
  • 1959Models of Man.3,558 cited
  • 1970Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge3,397 cited
  • 1971Belief in the law of small numbers.3,244 cited
  • 1972Imre Lakatos and Musgrave Alan (eds.). Criticism and the growth of knowledge. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1970. 282 pp. np.2,998 cited

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Cited by

  • 1992A catalog of errors49 cited
  • 1987Some Reasons for Distinguishing Between “Non-normative Response” and “Irrational Decision”35 cited
  • 1983Is irrationality systematic?33 cited
  • 1996Base rates do not constrain nonprobability judgments32 cited
  • 1996Fallacy and controversy about base rates19 cited
  • 1996The purpose of experiments: Ecological validity versus comparing hypotheses16 cited
  • 1996The implicit use of base rates in experiential and ecologically valid tasks13 cited
  • 1996Why do frequency formats improve Bayesian reasoning? Cognitive algorithms work on information, which needs representation10 cited
  • 1996The base rate controversy: Is the glass half-full or half-empty?8 cited
  • 1996Base rates, experience, and the big picture6 cited
  • 1996How to reconsider the base rate fallacy without forgetting the concept of systematic processing5 cited
  • 1996Judgment under uncertainty: Evolution may not favor a probabilistic calculus5 cited
  • 1996Cognitive algebra versus representativeness heuristic4 cited
  • 1996First things first: What is a base rate?4 cited
  • 1996Studying the use of base rates: Normal science or shifting paradigm?4 cited
  • 1996Critical and natural sensitivity to base rates3 cited