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Quantifying the Effects of Expert Selection and Elicitation Design on Experts’ Confidence in Their Judgments About Future Energy Technologies
16 references·0 citing·35 second hop
Quantifying the Effects of Expert Selection and Elicitation Design on Experts’ Confidence in Their Judgments About Future Energy Technologies (2016)Quantifying the Effects of Expert Selecti…Cognitive and Motivational Biases in Decision and Risk Analysis (2015)Cognitive and Motivational Bi…Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy (2014)Use (and abuse) of expert eli…The role of technology for achieving climate policy objectives: overview of the EMF 27 study on global technology and climate policy strategies (2014)The role of technology for ac…Creating a national citizen engagement process for energy policy (2014)Creating a national citizen e…Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools (2013)Making Hard Decisions with De…At home and abroad: An empirical analysis of innovation and diffusion in energy technologies (2010)At home and abroad: An empiri…Reducing Overconfidence in the Interval Judgments of Experts (2009)Reducing Overconfidence in th…A Question of Balance (2008)A Question of BalanceUncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (2006)Uncertain Judgements: Eliciti…Market integration and convergence to the Law of One Price: evidence from the European car market (2004)Market integration and conver…Experts In Uncertainty (1991)Experts In UncertaintyEliciting probabilities from experts in complex technical problems (1991)Eliciting probabilities from …Uncertainty (1990)UncertaintyAssessing uncertainty in physical constants (1986)Assessing uncertainty in phys…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Decision Analysis: Introducto…Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis for Health Care Decision Making—Emerging Good Practices: Report 2 of the ISPOR MCDA Emerging Good Practices Task Force (2016)How to support the application of multiple criteria decision analysis? Let us start with a comprehensive taxonomy (2020)Risk Perception: Reflections on 40 Years of Research (2020)Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C (2009)International climate policy architectures: Overview of the EMF 22 International Scenarios (2009)Diffusion of nuclear energy in some developing countries (2013)Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals (2013)Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions (2014)Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled (2016)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Communicating scientific uncertainty (2014)A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol (2017)Climate as a risk factor for armed conflict (2019)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)Subjective Probability Assessment in Decision Analysis: Partition Dependence and Bias Toward the Ignorance Prior (2005)An application of the TODIM method to the multicriteria rental evaluation of residential properties (2007)A framework for sensitivity analysis of decision trees (2017)Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science (2012)Model Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Analysis (2012)Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow (2016)The Economic Theory of Agency: The Principal's Problem. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Risk Perception and Communication Unplugged: Twenty Years of Process1 (1995)Identification and Review of Sensitivity Analysis Methods (2002)Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis (1999)Temperatures and cyclones strongly associated with economic production in the Caribbean and Central America (2010)The Green Solow model (2010)Strategic Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Sustainability (2011)
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References

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  • 2015Cognitive and Motivational Biases in Decision and Risk Analysis580 cited
  • 2014The role of technology for achieving climate policy objectives: overview of the EMF 27 study on global technology and climate policy strategies443 cited
  • 2004Market integration and convergence to the Law of One Price: evidence from the European car market391 cited
  • 2009Reducing Overconfidence in the Interval Judgments of Experts351 cited
  • 2010At home and abroad: An empirical analysis of innovation and diffusion in energy technologies331 cited
  • 1986Assessing uncertainty in physical constants320 cited
  • 1991Eliciting probabilities from experts in complex technical problems

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309 cited
  • 2014Creating a national citizen engagement process for energy policy179 cited
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