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Sequential Learning, Predictability, and Optimal Portfolio Returns
16 references·16 citing·47 second hopsampled
Sequential Learning, Predictability, and Optimal Portfolio Returns (2013)Sequential Learning, Predictability, and …The Dog That Did Not Bark: A Defense of Return Predictability (2007)The Dog That Did Not Bark: A …Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average? (2007)Predicting Excess Stock Retur…A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)A Comprehensive Look at The E…Stock Return Predictability: Is it There? (2006)Stock Return Predictability: …Payout policy in the 21st century (2005)Payout policy in the 21st cen…Predicting returns with financial ratios (2004)Predicting returns with finan…The Impact of Jumps in Volatility and Returns (2003)The Impact of Jumps in Volati…Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models (2002)Bayesian Analysis of Stochast…Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns (2001)Consumption, Aggregate Wealth…Investing for the Long Run when Returns Are Predictable (2000)Investing for the Long Run wh…Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests (2000)Conditional Skewness in Asset…Predictive regressions (1999)Predictive regressionsStochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models (1998)Stochastic Volatility: Likeli…Dividend Yields and Expected Stock Returns: Alternative Procedures for Inference and Measurement (1992)Dividend Yields and Expected …Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends (1988)Stock Prices, Earnings, and E…Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends? (1980)Do Stock Prices Move Too Much…On the performance of volatility-managed portfolios (2020)On the performance of volatil…Should Long-Term Investors Time Volatility? (2018)Should Long-Term Investors Ti…Pockets of Predictability (2018)Pockets of PredictabilityForecasting Methods in Finance (2018)Forecasting Methods in FinanceForecasting cryptocurrencies under model and parameter instability (2018)Forecasting cryptocurrencies …Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy (2017)Bond Return Predictability: E…Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations (2016)Optimal Portfolio Choice Unde…Generalized exponential moving average (EMA) model with particle filtering and anomaly detection (2016)Generalized exponential movin…Self-Exciting Jumps, Learning, and Asset Pricing Implications (2014)Self-Exciting Jumps, Learning…Do return prediction models add economic value? (2012)Do return prediction models a…Regime Changes and Financial Markets (2011)Regime Changes and Financial …Predictability of stock returns and asset allocation under structural breaks (2011)Predictability of stock retur…Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows (2011)Predictability of Returns and…Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators (2011)Forecasting the Equity Risk P…Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio, and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns (2011)Demographic Trends, the Divid…Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows (2010)Predictability of Returns and…Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares (1961)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, and Control (1995)Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case (1969)The Econometrics of Financial Markets (1997)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)The Econometrics of Financial Markets (2012)Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns (2014)Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning (2020)A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return (1987)Stochastic Simulation (1987)The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities (1987)Non-Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck-based Models and Some of Their Uses in Financial Economics (2001)Econometric Analysis of Realized Volatility and its Use in Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models (2002)Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps (2004)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance (1997)The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns (2006)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)… and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns (2015)The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1988)Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Presidential Address: Discount Rates (2011)Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations (1982)Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors (1988)Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models (1991)Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia (2009)The short of it: Investor sentiment and anomalies (2011)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1986)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Its Critics (2003)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeovers (1986)The Economic Implications of Corporate Financial Reporting (2004)The economic implications of corporate financial reporting (2005)Corporate governance and firm cash holdings in the US (2007)Expected stock returns and volatility (1987)Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Movements: A Bird's Eye View (1991)Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A Cross‐Sectional Test When Risk Premia Are Time‐Varying (2001)Asset returns and inflation (1977)Stock Returns and the Term Structure (1985)Dividend yields and expected stock returns (1988)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 1980Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?4,020 cited
  • 2007A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction3,984 cited
  • 2007Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?2,916 cited
  • 2000Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests2,837 cited
  • 1988Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends2,457 cited
  • 2005Payout policy in the 21st century2,268 cited
  • 1998Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models2,265 cited
  • 2001Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns2,187 cited
  • 1999Predictive regressions1,614 cited
  • 1992Dividend Yields and Expected Stock Returns: Alternative Procedures for Inference and Measurement1,521 cited
  • 2003The Impact of Jumps in Volatility and Returns1,469 cited
  • 2000Investing for the Long Run when Returns Are Predictable1,372 cited
  • 2002Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models1,363 cited
  • 2006Stock Return Predictability: Is it There?1,295 cited
  • 2007The Dog That Did Not Bark: A Defense of Return Predictability1,227 cited

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  • 2004Predicting returns with financial ratios1,002 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2011Predictability of stock returns and asset allocation under structural breaks219 cited
    • 2011Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows199 cited
    • 2011Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators189 cited
    • 2012Do return prediction models add economic value?170 cited
    • 2020On the performance of volatility-managed portfolios166 cited
    • 2018Forecasting cryptocurrencies under model and parameter instability153 cited
    • 2017Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy144 cited
    • 2018Pockets of Predictability134 cited
    • 2014Self-Exciting Jumps, Learning, and Asset Pricing Implications99 cited
    • 2016Generalized exponential moving average (EMA) model with particle filtering and anomaly detection91 cited
    • 2010Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows77 cited
    • 2018Should Long-Term Investors Time Volatility?73 cited
    • 2011Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio, and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns72 cited
    • 2018Forecasting Methods in Finance69 cited
    • 2011Regime Changes and Financial Markets66 cited
    • 2016Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations64 cited