Wish and Reality in Voters' Predictions of Election Outcomes

Elisha Y. Babad · Eitan Yacobos

57 citations0/0 files storedPolitical Psychology

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Electoral Systems and Political Participation Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Social and Intergroup Psychology

Abstract

The study investigated wishful thinking (WT) among Israeli voters in the 1988 election. The WT hypothesis predicts that preference will influence expectations of election outcomes.

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1977The “false consensus effect”: An egocentric bias in social perception and attribution processes 1982Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. By Morris P. Fiorina. (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1981. Pp. xii + 249. $35.00, cloth; $9.95, paper.)1968The People's Choice: How the Voter Makes Up His Mind in a Presidential Campaign 1981Self-fulfilling prophecies 1967Elections and the Political Order 1966The Responsible Electorate: Rationality in Presidential Voting, 1936-1960, by V. O. Key and Milton C. Cummings 1983Bias and error in human judgment 1991Wishful Thinking—Against All Odds

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