CREAM——A Second-Generation Human Reliability Analysis Method

Shen Zu-pei

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Risk and Safety Analysis Reliability and Maintenance Optimization Software Reliability and Analysis Research

Abstract

This paper describes one of the most representative second-generation human reliability analysis methods Cognitive Reliability and Error Analysis Method (CREAM). The basic concept and the kernel idea of CREAM are summarized. The basic thought and the practical analysis process of the root cause retrospection and the failure probability prediction of CREAM are also given. It will be helpful to the application of CREAM in the accident analysis and the risk assessment of industrial systems.

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