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Inference pitfalls in Lee–Carter model for forecasting mortality
10 references·7 citing·36 second hop
Inference pitfalls in Lee–Carter model for forecasting mortality (2016)Inference pitfalls in Lee–Carter model fo…Measuring the Impact of Longevity Risk on Pension Systems: The Case of Italy (2014)Measuring the Impact of Longe…Detecting Common Longevity Trends by a Multiple Population Approach (2014)Detecting Common Longevity Tr…Pricing and securitization of multi-country longevity risk with mortality dependence (2012)Pricing and securitization of…Modelling dependent data for longevity projections (2012)Modelling dependent data for …Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models (2011)Mortality density forecasts: …Pricing longevity risk with the parametric bootstrap: A maximum entropy approach (2010)Pricing longevity risk with t…Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method (2005)Coherent mortality forecasts …A Poisson log-bilinear regression approach to the construction of projected lifetables (2002)A Poisson log-bilinear regres…Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality (1992)Modeling and Forecasting U. S…Time Series Regression with a Unit Root (1987)Time Series Regression with a…Modeling mortality with a Bayesian vector autoregression (2020)Modeling mortality with a Bay…Constructing dynamic life tables with a single-factor model (2020)Constructing dynamic life tab…Statistical Inference for Lee-Carter Mortality Model and Corresponding Forecasts (2019)Statistical Inference for Lee…BIAS-CORRECTED INFERENCE FOR A MODIFIED LEE–CARTER MORTALITY MODEL (2019)BIAS-CORRECTED INFERENCE FOR …A Bayesian Approach to Developing a Stochastic Mortality Model for China (2019)A Bayesian Approach to Develo…Cohort effects in mortality modelling: a Bayesian state-space approach (2018)Cohort effects in mortality m…Identifiability issues of age–period and age–period–cohort models of the Lee–Carter type (2017)Identifiability issues of age…Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)Multi-Population Mortality Models: A Factor Copula Approach (2014)A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF TWO-POPULATION MODELS FOR THE ASSESSMENT OF BASIS RISK IN LONGEVITY HEDGES (2017)COHERENT FORECASTING OF MORTALITY RATES: A SPARSE VECTOR-AUTOREGRESSION APPROACH (2017)Aging, Natural Death, and the Compression of Morbidity (1980)A cohort-based extension to the Lee–Carter model for mortality reduction factors (2006)A quantitative comparison of simulation strategies for mortality projection (2014)POINT AND INTERVAL FORECASTS OF DEATH RATES USING NEURAL NETWORKS (2021)A Neural Approach to Improve the Lee-Carter Mortality Density Forecasts (2022)A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries (2000)MODELING LONGEVITY RISK WITH GENERALIZED DYNAMIC FACTOR MODELS AND VINE-COPULAE (2015)It’s all in the hidden states: A longevity hedging strategy with an explicit measure of population basis risk (2016)Broken Limits to Life Expectancy (2002)Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review (2006)The Outlook for Population Growth (2011)Coherent Mortality Forecasting: The Product-Ratio Method With Functional Time Series Models (2012)A Two‐Factor Model for Stochastic Mortality with Parameter Uncertainty: Theory and Calibration (2006)The age pattern of transitory mortality jumps and its impact on the pricing of catastrophic mortality bonds (2015)Incorporating the Bühlmann credibility into mortality models to improve forecasting performances (2016)Mortality Dependence and Longevity Bond Pricing: A Dynamic Factor Copula Mortality Model With the GAS Structure (2017)Dynamic Fiscal Policy. (1989)Insurance: Mathematics and Economics (2004)On the evolution of the gender gap in life expectancy at normal retirement age for OECD countries (2022)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence (1978)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root (1992)Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties (2002)Projections of Global Mortality and Burden of Disease from 2002 to 2030 (2006)Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories (2018)Mortality Modelling and Forecasting: a Review of Methods (2008)A Quantitative Comparison of Stochastic Mortality Models Using Data From England and Wales and the United States (2009)Modelling and management of mortality risk: a review (2008)On Stochastic Mortality Modeling (2009)
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References

  • 1987Time Series Regression with a Unit Root2,821 cited
  • 1992Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality2,311 cited
  • 2002A Poisson log-bilinear regression approach to the construction of projected lifetables727 cited
  • 2005Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method623 cited
  • 2011Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models292 cited
  • 2012Pricing and securitization of multi-country longevity risk with mortality dependence69 cited
  • 2010Pricing longevity risk with the parametric bootstrap: A maximum entropy approach46 cited
  • 2012Modelling dependent data for longevity projections44 cited
  • 2014Detecting Common Longevity Trends by a Multiple Population Approach28 cited
  • 2014Measuring the Impact of Longevity Risk on Pension Systems: The Case of Italy28 cited

Cited by

  • 2019Statistical Inference for Lee-Carter Mortality Model and Corresponding Forecasts19 cited
  • 2019A Bayesian Approach to Developing a Stochastic Mortality Model for China18 cited
  • 2020Modeling mortality with a Bayesian vector autoregression13 cited
  • 2020Constructing dynamic life tables with a single-factor model13 cited

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2018
Cohort effects in mortality modelling: a Bayesian state-space approach
13 cited
  • 2019BIAS-CORRECTED INFERENCE FOR A MODIFIED LEE–CARTER MORTALITY MODEL11 cited
  • 2017Identifiability issues of age–period and age–period–cohort models of the Lee–Carter type10 cited