Encoding, representing, and estimating event frequencies: a multiple strategy perspective

Abstract

Abstract People use several formats to represent frequency information and they use several strategies to generate frequency judgements. These observations are at the core of an approach to event frequency called the Multiple Strategy Perspective (MSP). This chapter provides an overview of the MSP and a review of pertinent research methods and findings. The overview catalogues the common frequency formats, estimation strategies, and performance patterns. It also identifies a set of systemic relations which first links encoding factors and event properties to frequency representations, then links these frequency representations to strategy selection, and finally links strategy selection to estimation performance (i.e. speed, accuracy, and bias). Strategy selection and implication for basic and applied research are considered in the concluding sections of the chapter.

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