Third-Country Exchange Rate Volatility and Pakistan-U.S. Trade at Commodity Level

Mohsen Bahmani‐Óskooee · Misbah Nosheen · Javed Iqbal

14 citations0/0 files storedThe International Trade Journal

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Global trade and economics Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Global Financial Crisis and Policies

Abstract

We add to the literature on the “Third-Country” effect by assessing the impact of rupee-dollar volatility on 116 U.S. industries that export to Pakistan and 53 U.S. industries that import from Pakistan. As two measures of “Third-Country” effects, we include volatility measures of rupee-yuan and dollar-yuan rates due to the increased role of China in the global economy. We find evidence of “Third-Country” effects in more than half of the industries. Among affected industries are many of the large U.S. exporting industries, but not large U.S. importing industries.

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References

2001Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships 2005The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests 1998Error‐correction Mechanism Tests for Cointegration in a Single‐equation Framework 2006Journal of Applied Econometrics 2008Pakistan Economic and Social Review 1983The effects of real exchange rate risk on international trade 2007Exchange rate volatility and trade flows: a review article 1986Determinants of international trade flows

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