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Cross validation for the classical model of structured expert judgment

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References

1992Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science1,129 cited
1986Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography1,007 cited
2010A route to more tractable expert advice333 cited
2007TU Delft expert judgment data base319 cited
1969Scoring Rules and the Evaluation of Probability Assessors270 cited
2013Is It Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?155 cited
1988Calibration and information in expert resolution; a classical approach83 cited

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2024Expert Judgment and Uncertainty in Sociotechnical Systems Analysis78 cited
2018The Value of Performance Weights and Discussion in Aggregated Expert Judgments60 cited
2020A novel approach in probabilistic quantification of risks within the context of maritime supply chain: The case of extreme weather events in the Arctic53 cited
2020Weighting and aggregating expert ecological judgments50 cited
2021Mathematically aggregating experts’ predictions of possible futures

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39 cited

2019A review paper to examine the validity of Bayesian network to build rational consensus in subjective probabilistic failure analysis38 cited

2024Measuring the impacts of human and organizational factors on human errors in the Dutch construction industry using structured expert judgement23 cited