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Debiasing the Hindsight Bias: Counterfactual Thinking as a Strategy to Counteract the Confirmation Bias
16 references·0 citing·38 second hop
Debiasing the Hindsight Bias: Counterfactual Thinking as a Strategy to Counteract the Confirmation Bias (2007)Debiasing the Hindsight Bias: Counterfact…Confirmation bias in sequential information search after preliminary decisions: An expansion of dissonance theoretical research on selective exposure to information. (2001)Confirmation bias in sequenti…The functional basis of counterfactual thinking. (1994)The functional basis of count…Order effects in belief updating: The belief-adjustment model (1992)Order effects in belief updat…Costs and benefits of judgment errors: Implications for debiasing. (1991)Costs and benefits of judgmen…Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known. (1990)Hindsight: Biased judgments o…Behavioral research in accounting (1989)Behavioral research in accoun…Outcome bias in decision evaluation. (1988)Outcome bias in decision eval…Motivated inference: Self-serving generation and evaluation of causal theories. (1987)Motivated inference: Self-ser…Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing. (1987)Confirmation, disconfirmation…Considering the opposite: A corrective strategy for social judgment. (1984)Considering the opposite: A c…Hypothesis-testing processes in social interaction. (1978)Hypothesis-testing processes …Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. (1975)Hindsight is not equal to for…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Availability: A heuristic for…On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task (1960)On the Failure to Eliminate H…Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Behavioral Decision Research: A Constructive Processing Perspective (1992)Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability. (1994)Learning to Be Overconfident (2001)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Rank Correlation Methods. (1949)Rank Correlation Methods. (1957)The Logic of Scientific Discovery. (1959)Positive-Negative Asymmetry in Evaluations: The Distinction Between Affective and Informational Negativity Effects (1990)Initial Trust Formation in New Organizational Relationships (1998)Scientific Discovery Learning with Computer Simulations of Conceptual Domains (1998)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process (1977)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Culture and systems of thought: Holistic versus analytic cognition. (2001)The Handbook of Social Psychology (1969)Unrealistic optimism about future life events. (1980)CURRENT RESEARCH IN SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY (1996)Social Cognition: Making Sense of People (2000)Objectivity in the Eye of the Beholder: Divergent Perceptions of Bias in Self Versus Others. (2004)A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance (2017)The case for motivated reasoning. (1990)Confirmation Bias: A Ubiquitous Phenomenon in Many Guises (1998)Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (2022)Personality and Assessment (1968)Features of similarity. (1977)Prototypes in Person Perception (1979)Beyond attribution theory: Cognitive processes in performance appraisal. (1981)Self-verification processes: How we sustain our self-conceptions (1981)Individual differences in rational thought. (1998)Why Measure Performance? Different Purposes Require Different Measures (2003)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)
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References

  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1973Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability9,980 cited
  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1960On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task2,104 cited
  • 1987Confirmation, disconfirmation, and information in hypothesis testing.2,095 cited
  • 1975Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty.1,841 cited
  • 1992Order effects in belief updating: The belief-adjustment model1,591 cited
  • 1987Motivated inference: Self-serving generation and evaluation of causal theories.1,059 cited
  • 1978Hypothesis-testing processes in social interaction.937 cited
  • 1988Outcome bias in decision evaluation.872 cited
  • 1990Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.854 cited
  • 1991Costs and benefits of judgment errors: Implications for debiasing.764 cited
  • 1989Behavioral research in accounting741 cited
  • 1984Considering the opposite: A corrective strategy for social judgment.741 cited
  • 2001Confirmation bias in sequential information search after preliminary decisions: An expansion of dissonance theoretical research on selective exposure to information.

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725 cited
  • 1994The functional basis of counterfactual thinking.722 cited
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