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Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation
16 references·7 citing·36 second hop
Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation (2017)Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflati…Handbook of Economic Forecasting (2013)Handbook of Economic Forecast…What do we learn from the price of crude oil futures? (2010)What do we learn from the pri…Inflation-Gap Persistence in the US (2009)Inflation-Gap Persistence in …Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data (2008)Nowcasting: The real-time inf…Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast? (2007)Why Has U.S. Inflation Become…Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better? (2007)Do macro variables, asset mar…Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability (2006)Tests of Conditional Predicti…There is a risk-return trade-off after all (2005)There is a risk-return trade-…The MIDAS Touch: Mixed Data Sampling Regression Models (2004)The MIDAS Touch: Mixed Data S…Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices (2003)Forecasting Output and Inflat…Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices (2003)Forecasting Output and Inflat…Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes (2002)Macroeconomic Forecasting Usi…Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors (2002)Forecasting Using Principal C…Federal Reserve Information and the Behavior of Interest Rates (2000)Federal Reserve Information a…Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors (1997)Testing the equality of predi…Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive AccuracyNowcasting food inflation with a massive amount of online prices (2022)Nowcasting food inflation wit…Is it Time to Reassess the Focal Role of Core PCE Inflation in Assessing the Trend in PCE Inflation? (2022)Is it Time to Reassess the Fo…Whose Inflation Expectations Best Predict Inflation? (2021)Whose Inflation Expectations …Tourism demand nowcasting using a LASSO-MIDAS model (2021)Tourism demand nowcasting usi…Is It Time to Reassess the Focal Role of Core PCE Inflation? (2021)Is It Time to Reassess the Fo…Measuring Global Economic Activity (2019)Measuring Global Economic Act…Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy (2019)Combining survey long-run for…Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Macroeconomics and Reality (1980)Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors (1988)Chapter 4 Forecast Combinations (2006)Carbon Tail Risk (2018)Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning (2020)New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators (1989)Large Bayesian vector auto regressions (2009)Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions (2009)Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions (2014)Rules, discretion and reputation in a model of monetary policy (1983)The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News: Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models (2005)Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation (2016)Deconstructing Monetary Policy Surprises: The Role of Information Shocks (2018)American Economic Review (2019)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)A Test for Superior Predictive Ability (2005)Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies (2010)Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point (1993)Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why? (2002)Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks (2011)Risk Premiums in Dynamic Term Structure Models with Unspanned Macro Risks (2013)Government Spending Multipliers in Good Times and in Bad: Evidence from US Historical Data (2017)Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation (1997)Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory* (2000)The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach (2005)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations (2012)Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with a Multifactor Error Structure (2006)Measuring Uncertainty (2015)A PANIC Attack on Unit Roots and Cointegration (2004)Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models do Provide Accurate Forecasts (1998)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)
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References

  • 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
  • 2002Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors2,990 cited
  • 2002Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes2,550 cited
  • 1997Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors2,103 cited
  • 2007Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?1,719 cited
  • 2006Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability1,667 cited
  • 2013Handbook of Economic Forecasting1,216 cited
  • 2008Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data1,153 cited
  • 2003Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices1,076 cited
  • 2000Federal Reserve Information and the Behavior of Interest Rates1,049 cited
  • 2005There is a risk-return trade-off after all1,019 cited
  • 2003Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices864 cited
  • 2007Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?801 cited
  • 2010What do we learn from the price of crude oil futures?744 cited
  • 2004The MIDAS Touch: Mixed Data Sampling Regression Models563 cited
  • 2009Inflation-Gap Persistence in the US

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544 cited

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  • 2022Nowcasting food inflation with a massive amount of online prices44 cited
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  • 2019Measuring Global Economic Activity36 cited
  • 2021Whose Inflation Expectations Best Predict Inflation?25 cited
  • 2022Is it Time to Reassess the Focal Role of Core PCE Inflation in Assessing the Trend in PCE Inflation?19 cited
  • 2021Is It Time to Reassess the Focal Role of Core PCE Inflation?14 cited