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ARE PRODUCT SPREADS USEFUL FOR FORECASTING OIL PRICES? AN EMPIRICAL EVALUATION OF THE VERLEGER HYPOTHESIS
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References

  • 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
  • 2006Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models2,513 cited
  • 2006Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability1,667 cited
  • 2013Handbook of Economic Forecasting1,216 cited
  • 2000State-Space Models with Regime-Switching: Classical and Gibbs Sampling Approaches with Applications1,153 cited
  • 2004Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven‐country data set1,138 cited
  • 1995Exchange rates and fundamentals: Evidence on long-horizon predictability1,044 cited
  • 2005In-Sample or Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability: Which One Should We Use?756 cited
  • 2010What do we learn from the price of crude oil futures?744 cited
  • 2010Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? *597 cited
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  • 1999Exchange rates and monetary fundamentals: what do we learn from long-horizon regressions?429 cited
  • 2012Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil356 cited
  • 2015Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach323 cited
  • 1987Structural change and the combination of forecasts

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235 cited
  • 2010Forecasting the Price of Oil227 cited
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    • 2018The Effects of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks on U.S. Consumer Sentiment62 cited
    • 2018A Review of the Evidence on the Relation Between Crude Oil Prices and Petroleum Product Prices61 cited
    • 2016Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump39 cited
    • 2023Forecasts of the real price of oil revisited: Do they beat the random walk?37 cited
    • 2018Real-Time Forecast Combinations for the Oil Price37 cited
    • 2017Forecasting the Real Price of Oil - Time-Variation and Forecast Combination36 cited
    • 2021The Illusion of Oil Return Predictability: The Choice of Data Matters!21 cited