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Residential investment and recession predictability
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Residential investment and recession predictability (2018)Residential investment and recession pred…What Explains the 2007-2009 Drop in Employment? (2014)What Explains the 2007-2009 D…Household Balance Sheets, Consumption, and the Economic Slump* (2013)Household Balance Sheets, Con…How do business and financial cycles interact? (2012)How do business and financial…Housing Market Spillovers: Evidence from an Estimated DSGE Model (2010)Housing Market Spillovers: Ev…Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market (2009)Not All Oil Price Shocks Are …Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data (2008)Nowcasting: The real-time inf…Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices (2003)Forecasting Output and Inflat…Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices (2003)Forecasting Output and Inflat…Dissecting the cycle: a methodological investigation (2002)Dissecting the cycle: a metho…A real-time data set for macroeconomists (2001)A real-time data set for macr…Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators (1998)Predicting U.S. Recessions: F…This is what happened to the oil price-macroeconomy relationship (1996)This is what happened to the …The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity (1991)The Term Structure as a Predi…New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators (1989)New Indexes of Coincident and…A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)A New Approach to the Economi…Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II (1983)Oil and the Macroeconomy sinc…Measuring Business Cycles (1947)King Charles I (1981)Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery (2008)When Credit Bites Back (2013)How Regions React to Recessions: Resilience and the Role of Economic Structure (2016)Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods (1969)Macroeconomics and Reality (1980)Comparing alternative tests of causality in temporal systems (1983)Oil price shocks and stock market activity (1999)What is an Oil Shock? (2000)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series (1982)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis (1989)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)Atheoretical macroeconometrics: A critique (1985)Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks (1997)THE IMPACT OF OIL PRICE SHOCKS ON THE U.S. STOCK MARKET* (2009)THE ROLE OF INVENTORIES AND SPECULATIVE TRADING IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR CRUDE OIL (2013)Oil prices, US stock return, and the dependence between their quantiles (2015)The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions (1933)Agency Costs, Net Worth, And Business Fluctuations (1988)Credit Cycles (1997)Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers (2013)The Employment Effects of Credit Market Disruptions: Firm-level Evidence from the 2008–9 Financial Crisis * (2013)Wealth Inequality in the United States since 1913: Evidence from Capitalized Income Tax Data * (2016)Econometric policy evaluation: A critique (1976)The theory and practice of econometrics (1986)The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates (1987)A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables (2003)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations (2012)INTEREST AND PRICES: FOUNDATIONS OF A THEORY OF MONETARY POLICY (2005)Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy (2005)Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach (2007)Housing Finance and Monetary Policy (2009)Asset‐based measurement of poverty (2010)Service Regulation and Growth: Evidence from OECD Countries (2011)Exogenous Oil Supply Shocks: How Big Are They and How Much Do They Matter for the U.S. Economy? (2008)Oil price shocks and stock markets in the U.S. and 13 European countries (2008)The Economic Effects of Energy Price Shocks (2008)The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns (1996)The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems (1999)Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy (2012)The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach (2005)What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? (2005)
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  • 2012How do business and financial cycles interact?700 cited
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