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Performers, trackers, lemmings and the lost: Sustained false optimism in forecasting project outcomes — Evidence from a quasi-experiment
16 references·2 citing·35 second hop
Performers, trackers, lemmings and the lost: Sustained false optimism in forecasting project outcomes — Evidence from a quasi-experiment (2011)Performers, trackers, lemmings and the lo…THE HANDBOOK OF PROJECT-BASED MANAGEMENT (2008)THE HANDBOOK OF PROJECT-BASED…From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right (2006)From Nobel Prize to Project M…The green book : appraisal and evaluation in central government (2003)The green book : appraisal an…Megaprojects and Risk (2003)Megaprojects and RiskUnderestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie? (2002)Underestimating Costs in Publ…Managing project uncertainty: from variation to chaos (2002)Managing project uncertainty:…Management of risks, uncertainties and opportunities on projects: time for a fundamental shift (2001)Management of risks, uncertai…DETERMINANTS OF RISKY DECISION-MAKING BEHAVIOR: A TEST OF THE MEDIATING ROLE OF RISK PERCEPTIONS AND PROPENSITY. (1995)DETERMINANTS OF RISKY DECISIO…When ego threats lead to self-regulation failure: Negative consequences of high self-esteem. (1993)When ego threats lead to self…Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Prospect theory: An analysis …Anomalies: The Winner's Curse (1988)Anomalies: The Winner's CursePerception of Risk (1987)Perception of RiskUnrealistic optimism about future life events. (1980)Unrealistic optimism about fu…Facts and Fears: Understanding Perceived Risk (1980)Facts and Fears: Understandin…Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect Theory: An Analysis …Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…Project managers: old, grumpy and suspicious or just “once bitten, twice shy?” (2024)Project managers: old, grumpy…Planning for production in construction: controlling costs in major capital projects (2017)Planning for production in co…Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)A Cross-Cultural Study on Escalation of Commitment Behavior in Software Projects1 (2000)Cognitive biases, risk perception, and venture formation (2000)Consumer trust in an Internet store (2000)Behavioral Decision Theory (1961)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)The Social Amplification of Risk: A Conceptual Framework (1988)Risk as Analysis and Risk as Feelings: Some Thoughts about Affect, Reason, Risk, and Rationality (2004)Using social and behavioural science to support COVID-19 pandemic response (2020)Management and Cost Accounting (1992)Economic burden of cardiovascular diseases in the enlarged European Union (2006)Using Discrete Choice Experiments to Value Health and Health Care (2007)Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change (2006) (2017)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Exploration and Exploitation in Organizational Learning (1991)Explicating dynamic capabilities: the nature and microfoundations of (sustainable) enterprise performance (2007)Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Optimism, coping, and health: Assessment and implications of generalized outcome expectancies. (1985)Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health. (1988)Hopelessness depression: A theory-based subtype of depression. (1989)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Development of NASA-TLX (Task Load Index): Results of Empirical and Theoretical Research (1988)Epistemic Injustice (2007)The Future of the Capitalist State (2005)What you Should Know about Megaprojects and Why: An Overview (2014)How common and how large are cost overruns in transport infrastructure projects? (2003)Directions for future research in project management: The main findings of a UK government-funded research network (2006)Should we build more large dams? The actual costs of hydropower megaproject development (2014)Why Study Risk Perception? (1982)Risk Perceptions, General Environmental Beliefs, and Willingness to Address Climate Change (1999)Households' Perceived Personal Risk and Responses in a Multihazard Environment (2008)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1979Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk48,459 cited
  • 1988Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk32,475 cited
  • 1974Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases28,742 cited
  • 1987Perception of Risk9,263 cited
  • 1980Unrealistic optimism about future life events.4,996 cited
  • 2003Megaprojects and Risk2,433 cited
  • 2002Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?1,446 cited
  • 2003The green book : appraisal and evaluation in central government1,417 cited
  • 1980Facts and Fears: Understanding Perceived Risk1,301 cited
  • 1995DETERMINANTS OF RISKY DECISION-MAKING BEHAVIOR: A TEST OF THE MEDIATING ROLE OF RISK PERCEPTIONS AND PROPENSITY.1,209 cited
  • 1993When ego threats lead to self-regulation failure: Negative consequences of high self-esteem.553 cited
  • 2008THE HANDBOOK OF PROJECT-BASED MANAGEMENT552 cited
  • 1988Anomalies: The Winner's Curse536 cited
  • 2006From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right498 cited
  • 2001Management of risks, uncertainties and opportunities on projects: time for a fundamental shift466 cited
  • 2002

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Managing project uncertainty: from variation to chaos
465 cited

Cited by

  • 2017Planning for production in construction: controlling costs in major capital projects32 cited
  • 2024Project managers: old, grumpy and suspicious or just “once bitten, twice shy?”1 cited