A multi-method simulation of a high-frequency bus line

Abstract

A methodology to model high-frequency bus lines is proposed and a realistic event-simulation model for such a line in the Netherlands is presented. This simulation model helps policy makers to predict changes that have to be made to bus routes and planned travel times before problems occur. With this model, different passenger growth scenarios can be easily evaluated. The model is validated using different key performance indicators, showing that under some model assumptions, it can realistically simulate real-life scenarios. The simulations workings are illustrated by a case study of passenger growth.

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