Future scenario’s for post-industrial Eindhoven. A fringe-belt perspective

Abstract

Although increasingly recognized as sound baseline research to inform the operational level of spatial urban planning, e.g. urban management plans, little research has yet focussed on fringe-belt analysis in the strategic level of spatial urban planning. In general, strategic urban planning dominantly involves quantitative and economically biased modes of scenario analysis. Qualitative analytical approaches, such as provided by morphogenetic analysis, are usually being excluded. This paper aims to discuss the role of fringe-belt analysis in spatial scenario planning. Within the framework of a fringe-belt analysis, a plural scenario case study is carried out in the former industrial region of Eindhoven, The Netherlands. Multiple roles of the present urban fringe-belt composition in the anticipated processes of future transformation of the urban region are explored, as well as the potential internal modification processes within its fringe-belts themselves. Research outcomes are related to the current strategic vision of the city and urban region, and the opportunities for an integrated strategic scenario approach are investigated. A pro-active approach towards fringe-belt modification is suggested as efficient urban development strategy, for example, channelling the increasing pressure of intensification of land-use (controlled fringe-belt alienation), or, creating social and economic value by means of fringe-belt adaptation. Results contribute to the debate on fringe-belt development and future transformation in the case of former industrial and post-industrial cities and urban regions, and more specifically, on the distinctive character and role of radial fringe-belts, radial fringe-belt corridors and radial fixation lines, within the changing spatial configuration of the social and economic urban stratification.

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