The Effects of Donald Trump’s Tweets on US Financial and Foreign Exchange Markets

Constantin Colonescu

26 citations0/0 files storedAthens Journal of Business & Economics

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Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Market Dynamics and Volatility Stock Market Forecasting Methods

Abstract

Twitter is the US president's, Donald Trump, preferred media for communicating his thoughts to his followers.This project looks at the effect of the daily flow of Donald Trump's tweets on the US financial and foreign exchange markets, represented by the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) index and some exchange rates, over the period of Donald Trump's ongoing presidency.Using text mining techniques, some correlation is found between various moving average window lengths of tweet content and the DJI index.Some short term and lasting effects are also detected on US-Canada and US composite exchange rates.

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2011Twitter mood predicts the stock market 2016tidytext: Text Mining and Analysis Using Tidy Data Principles in R 2011Predicting Stock Market Indicators Through Twitter “I hope it is not as bad as I fear”2015Sentiment analysis on social media for stock movement prediction 2015The Effects of Twitter Sentiment on Stock Price Returns 2013Can social microblogging be used to forecast intraday exchange rates?2017readtext: Import and Handling for Plain and Formatted Text Files

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