Modeling of daily traffic volumes on urban roads

Abstract

The traffic volume is frequently used as a measure of road capacity. For many types of roads significant changes in traffic intensity occur within 24 hours a day. If the traffic volumes are measured during the day at hourly intervals, usually happens that the course of traffic volumes during the day has two maxima – morning peak hour and another peak hour in the afternoon.The authors of the article deal with modeling of the course of daily traffic volume using known probability distribution, while the authors use data obtained from real measurements of traffic volumes on the various categories of roads. In the paper the authors proposed procedure that can be applied to determine the resulting daily traffic volumes from short-term measurements of traffic volumes. Proposed procedure is suitable for urban planning, construction and upgrading of roadways or land-use planning decisions, while it is necessary to plan the construction of road infrastructure on the basis of prognosis of road traffic.

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