Articlediamond2019

Subnational population forecasts: Do users want to know about uncertainty?

15 citations0/0 files storedDemographic Research

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Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management Forecasting Techniques and Applications Census and Population Estimation

Abstract

Subnational population forecasts form a key input to many significant investment and planning decisions, but these forecasts are often subject to considerable amounts of uncertainty, even in the short run. This uncertainty is rarely quantified at the subna

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2012Bayesian probabilistic population projections for all countries 1981The Limits of Population Forecasting 1983The Accuracy of Population Projections 2002Why population forecasts should be probabilistic - illustrated by the case of Norway 1999Completing the Demographic Transition 1998Expert-Based Probabilistic Population Projections 1999Frontiers of Population Forecasting 2007Assumptions for long-term stochastic population forecasts in 18 European countries

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