Articlegold1991

Reaction on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange to major shifts in dividend policy

17 citations0/0 files storedSouth African Journal of Business Management

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Corporate Finance and Governance Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Financial Analysis and Corporate Governance

Abstract

The objective of this article is to examine the share market response to substantial changes in dividend policies for companies listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. The results provide strong support for the information content of dividend hypothesis. Investors revise their expectations in response to announcement of significant dividend changes. The market reacts more dramatically to negative than to positive dividend changes. The JSE appears to be inefficient in reacting to the announcement of dividend changes; economically significant abnormal returns are observed for a period of up to 20 trading days after the event. A systematic trader in dividend changing shares would have earned significant abnormal returns even though the market effects large corrections before, and at the announcement date. This pattern is especially clear around dividend omissions and large dividend decreases.

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1964CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK*1970EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK*1970Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work 1965The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets 1985Does the Stock Market Overreact?1975THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.]1961Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares 1956

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