Predicting repeat domestic violence: improving police risk assessment

Christopher Dowling · Anthony Morgan

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Intimate Partner and Family Violence Crime Patterns and Interventions Stalking, Cyberstalking, and Harassment

Abstract

This study examines how accurately the Family Violence Risk Assessment Tool (FVRAT) predicts repeat domestic violence. The FVRAT is a 37-item tool used by police in the ACT to inform their responses to domestic violence. This study examines a sample of 350 unique cases of violence involving current or former intimate partners between March and December 2017 in which police used the FVRAT. Repeat domestic violence was measured based on whether a subsequent report of domestic violence was made to police within six months. The FVRAT is not a strong predictor of repeat domestic violence. However, an empirically refined version of the FVRAT consisting of 10 individually predictive items much more accurately predicts repeat domestic violence.

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References

2012A Systematic Review of Risk Factors for Intimate Partner Violence 2007Non-fatal Strangulation is an Important Risk Factor for Homicide of Women 2012The Average Predictive Validity of Intimate Partner Violence Risk Assessment Instruments 2013Assessment and Management of Risk for Intimate Partner Violence by Police Officers Using the Brief Spousal Assault Form for the Evaluation of Risk 2019The Validity and Reliability of Available Intimate Partner Homicide and Reassault Risk Assessment Tools: A Systematic Review 2012# 4 A Systematic Review of Risk Factors for Intimate Partner Violence 2012Measuring the Outcome of Structured Spousal Violence Risk Assessments Using the B‐SAFER: Risk in Relation to Recidivism and Intervention 2018Policing domestic violence: A review of the evidence

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