Articlebronze2001

Are Phillips Curves Useful for Forecasting Inflation?

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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Forecasting Techniques and Applications Unemployment and Economic Growth

Abstract

Stock and Watson (1999a) have done a significant academic study of the accuracy of inflation forecasts made by NAIRU Phillips curves.For a discussion of the use of NAIRU Phillips curves for inflation forecasting in a policymaking institution, see U.S.

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References

2000Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory*1995The Role of Monetary Policy 1980Aggregate Dynamics and Staggered Contracts 1977Long-Term Contracts, Rational Expectations, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule 1999Forecasting inflation 1997The Time-Varying NAIRU and its Implications for Economic Policy 1955The Economic Report of the President.

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