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Forecasting U.S. stock returns
16 references·0 citing·43 second hopsampled
Forecasting U.S. stock returns (2018)Forecasting U.S. stock returnsOut-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium …Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence (2007)Reconciling the Return Predic…Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average? (2007)Predicting Excess Stock Retur…A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)A Comprehensive Look at The E…Stock Return Predictability: Is it There? (2006)Stock Return Predictability: …Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models (2006)Approximately normal tests fo…Financial Markets and the Real Economy (2005)Financial Markets and the Rea…Market States and Momentum (2004)Market States and MomentumConsumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns (2001)Consumption, Aggregate Wealth…Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators (1998)Predicting U.S. Recessions: F…Earnings and Expected Returns (1998)Earnings and Expected ReturnsEfficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root (1996)Efficient Tests for an Autore…Predictability of Stock Returns: Robustness and Economic Significance (1995)Predictability of Stock Retur…The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity (1991)The Term Structure as a Predi…The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1988)The Dividend-Price Ratio and …Dividend yields and expected stock returns (1988)Dividend yields and expected …Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case (1969)The Econometrics of Financial Markets (1997)The Econometrics of Financial Markets (2012)Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns (2014)Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning (2020)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work (1970)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)A five-factor asset pricing model (2014)Econometric policy evaluation: A critique (1976)The theory and practice of econometrics (1986)Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models (1987)Understanding Risk and Return (1993)A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables (2003)Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations (2012)Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)To Explain or to Predict? (2010)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root (1979)Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation (1991)LAG Length Selection and the Construction of Unit Root Tests with Good Size and Power (2001)Unit root tests for panel data (2001)A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence (2007)Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root (1992)The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective (1999)Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia (2009)Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations (1982)Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors (1988)Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models (1991)Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles (2000)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior (1999)Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators (2011)Investor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns (2014)Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes (2002)Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment (2015)
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References

  • 1996Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root5,637 cited
  • 2007A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction3,984 cited
  • 1988The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors3,784 cited
  • 1988Dividend yields and expected stock returns3,574 cited
  • 2007Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?2,916 cited
  • 2006Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models2,513 cited
  • 2001Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns2,187 cited
  • 1991The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity1,739 cited
  • 2009Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy1,684 cited
  • 2006Stock Return Predictability: Is it There?1,295 cited
  • 1998Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators1,180 cited
  • 1995Predictability of Stock Returns: Robustness and Economic Significance1,034 cited
  • 2004Market States and Momentum1,026 cited
  • 2007Reconciling the Return Predictability Evidence701 cited
  • 1998Earnings and Expected Returns635 cited

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  • 2005Financial Markets and the Real Economy572 cited
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