Do Stay-at-Home Orders Cause People to Stay at Home? Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Consumer Behavior

Diane Alexander · Ezra Karger

131 citations0/0 files storedThe Review of Economics and Statistics

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COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts COVID-19 epidemiological studies Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis

Abstract

Abstract We link the county-level rollout of stay-at-home orders during the COVID-19 pandemic to anonymized cell phone records and consumer spending data. We document three patterns. First, stay-at-home orders caused people to stay home: county-level measures of mobility declined 6% to 7% within two days of when the stay-at-home order went into effect. Second, stay-at-home orders caused large reductions in spending in sectors associated with mobility: small businesses and large retail chains. Third, we estimate fairly uniform responses to stay-at-home orders across the country; effects do not vary by county-level income, political leanings, or urban/rural status.

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References

2020How Are Small Businesses Adjusting to COVID-19? Early Evidence from a Survey 2020How Does Household Spending Respond to an Epidemic? Consumption during the 2020 COVID-19 Pandemic 2020Fear, lockdown, and diversion: Comparing drivers of pandemic economic decline 2020 2020Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View 2020How Did COVID-19 and Stabilization Policies Affect Spending and Employment? A New Real-Time Economic Tracker Based on Private Sector Data 2021Tracking the COVID-19 crisis with high-resolution transaction data 2020Initial Impacts of the Pandemic on Consumer Behavior: Evidence from Linked Income, Spending, and Savings Data 2020Unemployment Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders: Evidence from High-Frequency Claims Data

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2020Fear, Lockdown, and Diversion: Comparing Drivers of Pandemic Economic Decline 2020 2023The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global GDP growth 2020Real-time price indices: Inflation spike and falling product variety during the Great Lockdown 2020Initial Impacts of the Pandemic on Consumer Behavior: Evidence from Linked Income, Spending, and Savings Data

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