Modeling of a Tourism Group Decision Support System using Risk Analysis based Knowledge Base

Abstract

The increasing number of tourist destination becomes the main factor for export earning, job vacancy, business development, and infrastructure. The problem that occurs is the difference in regional income (GDP) that is quite significant in each region. Thus, it is necessary for the government to make a decision or policy in increasing tourist visits, mainly in Bali. In this case, choosing the most efficient decision from a number of decisions is for the government, tourists, community leaders, academics, and entrepreneurs in the tourism sector, especially in Bali. It is important to have a modeling decision support group (GDSS). GDSS modeling by integrating a knowledge-based (KB) risk analysis can determine decisions, extract information, and identify problems in the tourism sector especially, tourism objects in each region, more specifically. Problem identification in risk analysis modeling is determining decisions in handling risks and finding solutions from alternative tourism decisions that are potentially enlarged and knowledge gained from each decision-maker (DM). The process of identifying knowledge starts with comparing the assessment criteria on each tourism object and knowledge of tourism decision-makers. The results of GDSS modeling are subsequently integrated into knowledge-based risk analysis so that a decision is obtained in the form of an impact or risk and solution or recommendation in developing the specified tourism object. The purpose of combining the result is to understand the impacts or risks that may arise, and recommendations recommended so that the impacts or risks can be avoided.

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