Methodical provision of financial security assessment of the state

Abstract

Purpose of the research. The main purpose of the article is to improve methodological support for the assessment of the financial security of the state, taking into account the impact of budgetary policy. Methodology. During the study the following methods were applied: comparative analysis, integral estimation, normalization of indicators, component analysis, method of principal components, etc. Results. In the course of comparing the existing methodological support for the financial security assessment, it is justified, notwithstanding the existing shortcomings, the expediency of applying in the analytical work the Methodological recommendations for the calculation of the economic security level of Ukraine of the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade of Ukraine (2013) and the necessary calculations of the level of financial security of Ukraine for 2009-2018. Additional financial security indicators are proposed, taking into account the priority of its budget component, in particular, the share of revenues from the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) in the state budget revenues (for banking security), the ratio of the pension contributions of non-state pension funds to the own income of the Pension Fund of Ukraine (PFU) market), government revenue as a percentage of consolidated budget expenditures and the share of public servicing and debt repayment expenditures in consolidated budget expenditures (for debt security), expenditures and for servicing and repayment of public debt as % of gross domestic product (GDP) (for fiscal security); consolidated budget revenues in USD US (for currency security), consumer loans to households, % of household income, and lending to consolidated budget expenditures (for monetary security). On the basis of regression analysis, where sub-indices of functional constituents are taken by factor signs, and the integral indicator of financial security is obtained as a result sign, the reliability of the calculations is confirmed. Practical meaning. The calculated sub-indices of the functional components of the financial security of Ukraine and the integrated indicator for 2009-2018 can be used in the development of plans, forecasts, strategies for socio-economic development of Ukraine. Prospects for further research of the author are to study the impact of budgetary policy on the state of financial security of Ukraine.

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