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Predictability of bitcoin returns
16 references·1 citing·38 second hop
Predictability of bitcoin returns (2020)Predictability of bitcoin returnsOn the hedge and safe haven properties of Bitcoin: Is it really more than a diversifier? (2016)On the hedge and safe haven p…Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty* (2016)Measuring Economic Policy Unc…Speculative bubbles in Bitcoin markets? An empirical investigation into the fundamental value of Bitcoin (2015)Speculative bubbles in Bitcoi…Measuring Uncertainty (2015)Measuring UncertaintyA Simple Way to Estimate Bid‐Ask Spreads from Daily High and Low Prices (2012)A Simple Way to Estimate Bid‐…Time Series Momentum (2011)Time Series MomentumPredicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average? (2007)Predicting Excess Stock Retur…A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction (2007)A Comprehensive Look at The E…Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models (2006)Approximately normal tests fo…Liquidity Risk and Expected Stock Returns (2003)Liquidity Risk and Expected S…Predictive regressions (1999)Predictive regressionsAlternative factor specifications, security characteristics, and the cross-section of expected stock returns1We are especially grateful to Eugene Fama (a referee), an anonymous referee and Bill Schwert (the editor) for insightful and constructive suggestions. We also thank Wayne Ferson, Ken French, Will Goetzmann, Craig Holden, Ravi Jagannathan, Bob Jennings, Bruce Lehmann, Josef Lakonishok, Richard Roll, participants at the 1997 Meetings of the Western Finance Association, the 1997 UCLA/USC/UC Irvine conference, the November 1997 Asset Pricing Meeting of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the Atlanta Forum, and seminars at Columbia, Indiana, Florida, New York, Tulane, and Yale Universities; Eugene Fama and Ken French for providing part of the data used in this study; and Christoph Schenzler for excellent programming assistance. The second author acknowledges support from the Dean's Fund for Research and the Financial Markets Research Center at Vanderbilt University. We are responsible for remaining errors. This paper was formerly titled `A Re-Examination of Security Return Anomalies'.1 (1998)Alternative factor specificat…The Econometrics of Financial Markets (1997)The Econometrics of Financial…Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Business conditions and expec…Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets (1986)Predicting returns in the sto…Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread (1986)Asset pricing and the bid-ask…Interactions between investors’ fear and greed sentiment and Bitcoin prices (2023)Interactions between investor…Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case (1969)Out-of-Sample Equity Premium Prediction: Combination Forecasts and Links to the Real Economy (2009)The Econometrics of Financial Markets (2012)Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns (2014)Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning (2020)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)An analysis of intertemporal and cross-sectional determinants of earnings response coefficients (1989)The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums (1991)Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia (2009)Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)The relationship between return and market value of common stocks (1981)The theory and practice of econometrics (1986)Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns (2006)An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing (1976)Industry costs of equity (1997)The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1988)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Presidential Address: Discount Rates (2011)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects (2002)Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity (2008)A five-factor asset pricing model (2014)Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes (2002)Investor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns (2014)Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment (2015)The Role of Monetary Policy (1995)The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks (2009)COVID-19 pandemic, oil prices, stock market, geopolitical risk and policy uncertainty nexus in the US economy: Fresh evidence from the wavelet-based approach (2020)The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19 (2020)Measuring Geopolitical Risk (2022)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation (1997)COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty (2020)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)
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References

  • 2016Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty*12,311 cited
  • 2003Liquidity Risk and Expected Stock Returns5,362 cited
  • 1986Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread5,087 cited
  • 1997The Econometrics of Financial Markets5,007 cited
  • 2007A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction3,984 cited
  • 1989Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds3,934 cited
  • 2007Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?2,916 cited
  • 2015Measuring Uncertainty2,908 cited
  • 2006Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models2,513 cited
  • 1986Predicting returns in the stock and bond markets1,715 cited
  • 1999Predictive regressions1,614 cited
  • 2011Time Series Momentum1,470 cited
  • 2016On the hedge and safe haven properties of Bitcoin: Is it really more than a diversifier?1,441 cited
  • 2015Speculative bubbles in Bitcoin markets? An empirical investigation into the fundamental value of Bitcoin1,386 cited
  • 1998Alternative factor specifications, security characteristics, and the cross-section of expected stock returns1We are especially grateful to Eugene Fama (a referee), an anonymous referee and Bill Schwert (the editor) for insightful and constructive suggestions. We also thank Wayne Ferson, Ken French, Will Goetzmann, Craig Holden, Ravi Jagannathan, Bob Jennings, Bruce Lehmann, Josef Lakonishok, Richard Roll, participants at the 1997 Meetings of the Western Finance Association, the 1997 UCLA/USC/UC Irvine conference, the November 1997 Asset Pricing Meeting of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the Atlanta Forum, and seminars at Columbia, Indiana, Florida, New York, Tulane, and Yale Universities; Eugene Fama and Ken French for providing part of the data used in this study; and Christoph Schenzler for excellent programming assistance. The second author acknowledges support from the Dean's Fund for Research and the Financial Markets Research Center at Vanderbilt University. We are responsible for remaining errors. This paper was formerly titled `A Re-Examination of Security Return Anomalies'.1

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1,197 cited
  • 2012A Simple Way to Estimate Bid‐Ask Spreads from Daily High and Low Prices1,134 cited
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    • 2023Interactions between investors’ fear and greed sentiment and Bitcoin prices68 cited