Dynamics of scientific personnel in the transition from the USSR to the Russian Federation

Abstract

The article analyzes dynamics of the number of scientific personnel during the transition from the USSR (RSFSR) to the Russian Federation. The method of analysis is proposed which is based not on the dynamics of the age groups but on the analysis of scientists amount dynamics of certain years of birth. This approach allows to identify the logic of different ages scientists behavior in the crisis and their reaction on economy changes in the 90s of the last century. Both the total number of researchers and the dynamics of age distributions during the period of fast changes (1990–1998) and after 1998 were analyzed. It is shown that the dynamics of the scientists number in the post-Soviet period was largely determined by the age peaks of the researchers distribution formed in the USSR in the 60-70s. Currently, the effect of these peaks has expired and the age distribution is more in line with the general age distribution of the population. Forecasts of the researchers number dynamics in Russia in the near future are given.

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