Articlehybrid2008

Risk Factors for the Swiss Stock Market

30 citations0/0 files storedZeitschrift für schweizerische Statistik und Volkswirtschaft/Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Volkswirtschaft und Statistik/Swiss journal of economics and statistics

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Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Financial Analysis and Corporate Governance Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling

Abstract

Summary The four risk factors controlling for the market, size, value, and momentum effect have become a state-of-the-art framework for various applications in financial markets research. However, previous work shows that these broadly recognized risk factors are country-specific. For these reasons, this paper develops and analyses these factors for the Swiss stock market from January 1990 to December 2005, building on a high quality dataset and taking into account specific characteristics of the Swiss stock market. We find a negative size premium of −0.67% p.a. and a positive value premium of 2.35% p.a. Both, however, show a time-varying character. The momentum effect is the most pronounced with a premium of 10.33% p.a. The results are robust and validated by a comparison to data from the US. Furthermore, we find that the explanatory power of the factors is high, confirming their relevance to the Swiss stock market.

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References

1993Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds 1964CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK*1997On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance 1992The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns 1993Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency 1965The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets 1985Does the Stock Market Overreact?1975THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.]

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