The Accessing Foreign Aid’s Long Run Contribution to Economic Growth of Pakistan: An Evidence from Time Series Data

Abstract

Purpose: This research examines the effectiveness of foreign aid on Pakistan’s economic growth. The foreign aid efficiency is still under question. Some researches show positive affiliation of foreign aid with economic growth while some show negative affiliation. If foreign aid is not replacing or used as a substitute for domestic savings then foreign aid is useful for growth. To fill the two gaps of the economy the Two-Gap theory suggest that poor nations have to depend on overseas funds. Those two gaps are the Savings-Investment Gap and Import-Export Gap. There’re many kinds of international funds. Like foreign loans, development and non-development aid, FDI, and technological help. But underdeveloped nations like Pakistan have not a favorable speculation policy. Therefore, these nations are dependent on international aid and balance quite than foreign direct investment. Design/Methodology/Approach: For the analysis of this study the time era used is 1974 to 2016. The GDP is the dependent variable. Independent variables are population growth, foreign aid, inflation, foreign direct investment (FDI), and domestic savings. The annual data is collected from different sources. The technique for analysis is OLS and ARDL bound testing. Findings: Concluding remarks show that in Pakistan foreign aid affects economic growth negatively. Implications/Originality/Value: The current study was based on the least considered variables and the pioneer in testing the complex relationship through OLS and ARDL estimation.

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