New population projections for Queensland and its statistical divisions

Abstract

Tom Wilson is Postdoctoral Research Fellow and Martin Bell is Associate Professor and Director both are with the Queensland Centre for Population Research, School of Geography, Planning and Architecture, The University of Queensland; Glen Heyen is Senior Statistician in the Office of Economic and Statistical Research, Queensland Government and Alison Taylor is Principal Demographer in the Planning Information and Forecasting Unit, Department of Local Government and Planning, Queensland Government. The Queensland Government recently released its 2001-based population projections for the State and its statistical divisions. This paper reports on the main features of the projections to 2051 at the State level and to 2026 at the statistical division scale, the various projection assumptions made, and the new multiregional projection model written specifically for this round of projections. The projections indicate that Queensland is likely to experience very substantial population growth in coming decades, increasing concentration in the south east, and significant population ageing. Pagination on item is incorrect Copyright. Monash University and the author/s

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